Market icon

テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?

Market icon

テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?

$2,020,157 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$2,020,157 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$31,265 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at around 72-80% implied probability for Taylor Swift announcing a pregnancy by December 31, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of any credible public statement from Swift, her representatives, or consensus media reporting since the market window opened December 28, 2025. Persistent rumors—sparked by podcaster Bill Simmons' offhand December 2025 remark, her August 2025 engagement to Travis Kelce, tour pauses, and debunked AI-generated images—have repeatedly been dismissed by fact-checkers like Snopes and outlets including Reality Tea as recently as late March 2026. High uncertainty defines celebrity personal matters, with potential catalysts like album releases, awards shows, or social media appearances possibly stirring speculation, but only verified announcements will sway resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
音量
$2,020,157
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 28, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at around 72-80% implied probability for Taylor Swift announcing a pregnancy by December 31, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of any credible public statement from Swift, her representatives, or consensus media reporting since the market window opened December 28, 2025. Persistent rumors—sparked by podcaster Bill Simmons' offhand December 2025 remark, her August 2025 engagement to Travis Kelce, tour pauses, and debunked AI-generated images—have repeatedly been dismissed by fact-checkers like Snopes and outlets including Reality Tea as recently as late March 2026. High uncertainty defines celebrity personal matters, with potential catalysts like album releases, awards shows, or social media appearances possibly stirring speculation, but only verified announcements will sway resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
音量
$2,020,157
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 28, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

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よくある質問

「テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で24%、次いで「2025年12月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?」は$2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 30, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2025年12月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2025年に妊娠?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。