Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Catherine Trautmann at 99.5% to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, driven by her experience as former mayor (2001–2008), strong polling leads as the Socialist Party (PS) frontrunner, and recent left-wing coalition negotiations positioning her ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian amid dissatisfaction over local policies like urban development and budget issues. Center-right candidate Jean-Philippe Vetter trails at 0.1% with limited support. In France's two-round municipal system ahead of the 2026 vote, this commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments, though late scandals, health issues, major endorsements, or polling reversals could still shift odds before the first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日カトリーヌ・トロートマン 99.5%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン <1%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル <1%
$118,528 Vol.
$118,528 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
カトリーヌ・トロートマン
100%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン
<1%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル
<1%
カトリーヌ・トロートマン 99.5%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン <1%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル <1%
$118,528 Vol.
$118,528 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
カトリーヌ・トロートマン
$78,076 Vol.
100%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン
$40,453 Vol.
<1%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル
$0 Vol.
<1%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Catherine Trautmann at 99.5% to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, driven by her experience as former mayor (2001–2008), strong polling leads as the Socialist Party (PS) frontrunner, and recent left-wing coalition negotiations positioning her ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian amid dissatisfaction over local policies like urban development and budget issues. Center-right candidate Jean-Philippe Vetter trails at 0.1% with limited support. In France's two-round municipal system ahead of the 2026 vote, this commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments, though late scandals, health issues, major endorsements, or polling reversals could still shift odds before the first round.
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
音量
$118,528終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Catherine Trautmann at 99.5% to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, driven by her experience as former mayor (2001–2008), strong polling leads as the Socialist Party (PS) frontrunner, and recent left-wing coalition negotiations positioning her ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian amid dissatisfaction over local policies like urban development and budget issues. Center-right candidate Jean-Philippe Vetter trails at 0.1% with limited support. In France's two-round municipal system ahead of the 2026 vote, this commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments, though late scandals, health issues, major endorsements, or polling reversals could still shift odds before the first round.
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$118,528終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Catherine Trautmann at 99.5% to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, driven by her experience as former mayor (2001–2008), strong polling leads as the Socialist Party (PS) frontrunner, and recent left-wing coalition negotiations positioning her ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian amid dissatisfaction over local policies like urban development and budget issues. Center-right candidate Jean-Philippe Vetter trails at 0.1% with limited support. In France's two-round municipal system ahead of the 2026 vote, this commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments, though late scandals, health issues, major endorsements, or polling reversals could still shift odds before the first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問