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選挙·ニューヨーク市長

Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？

Market icon
選挙·ニューヨーク市長

Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？

Dec 31

Dec 31

はい

10% chance
Polymarket

$22,939 Vol.

はい

10% chance
Polymarket

$22,939 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no revocation of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship before 2027 at 90.5%, reflecting the absence of any formal Department of Justice investigation or court proceedings despite Republican lawmakers' letters in late 2025 alleging material misrepresentations on his 2018 naturalization application, such as undisclosed affiliations. Denaturalization requires proving fraud through a rigorous judicial process, a high bar upheld by Supreme Court precedents rejecting it as a political tool, with fewer than 150 cases annually historically. Mamdani, inaugurated in January 2026, continues active duties—including recent announcements on affordable housing, street safety, and worker protections—without legal interruption, underscoring the claims' lack of traction amid DOJ's focus on criminal fraud cases elsewhere. Late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds, but none has emerged in recent months.

Trader consensus heavily favors no revocation of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship before 2027 at 90.5%, reflecting the absence of any formal Department of Justice investigation or court proceedings despite Republican lawmakers' letters in late 2025 alleging material misrepresentations on his 2018 naturalization application, such as undisclosed affiliations. Denaturalization requires proving fraud through a rigorous judicial process, a high bar upheld by Supreme Court precedents rejecting it as a political tool, with fewer than 150 cases annually historically. Mamdani, inaugurated in January 2026, continues active duties—including recent announcements on affordable housing, street safety, and worker protections—without legal interruption, underscoring the claims' lack of traction amid DOJ's focus on criminal fraud cases elsewhere. Late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds, but none has emerged in recent months.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no revocation of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship before 2027 at 90.5%, reflecting the absence of any formal Department of Justice investigation or court proceedings despite Republican lawmakers' letters in late 2025 alleging material misrepresentations on his 2018 naturalization application, such as undisclosed affiliations. Denaturalization requires proving fraud through a rigorous judicial process, a high bar upheld by Supreme Court precedents rejecting it as a political tool, with fewer than 150 cases annually historically. Mamdani, inaugurated in January 2026, continues active duties—including recent announcements on affordable housing, street safety, and worker protections—without legal interruption, underscoring the claims' lack of traction amid DOJ's focus on criminal fraud cases elsewhere. Late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds, but none has emerged in recent months.

Trader consensus heavily favors no revocation of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship before 2027 at 90.5%, reflecting the absence of any formal Department of Justice investigation or court proceedings despite Republican lawmakers' letters in late 2025 alleging material misrepresentations on his 2018 naturalization application, such as undisclosed affiliations. Denaturalization requires proving fraud through a rigorous judicial process, a high bar upheld by Supreme Court precedents rejecting it as a political tool, with fewer than 150 cases annually historically. Mamdani, inaugurated in January 2026, continues active duties—including recent announcements on affordable housing, street safety, and worker protections—without legal interruption, underscoring the claims' lack of traction amid DOJ's focus on criminal fraud cases elsewhere. Late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds, but none has emerged in recent months.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ゾーラン・マムダニの市民権は2027年以前に剥奪されますか？」で10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、10¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に10%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？」は$22.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ゾーラン・マムダニの市民権は2027年以前に剥奪されますか？」で10%であり、市場がこの結果に10%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Zohran Mamdaniの市民権は2027年以前に取り消されましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。