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選挙·市長選挙

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
選挙·市長選挙

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

カトリーヌ・トロートマン 99.6%

ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル <1%

ジャンヌ・バルセギアン <1%

Polymarket

$125,805 Vol.

カトリーヌ・トロートマン 99.6%

ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル <1%

ジャンヌ・バルセギアン <1%

Polymarket

$125,805 Vol.

Market icon

カトリーヌ・トロートマン

$79,326 Vol.

100%

Market icon

ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル

$6,010 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

ジャンヌ・バルセギアン

$40,469 Vol.

<1%

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann's commanding 99.6% implied probability in the Strasbourg mayoral election market stems from her Socialist-led list's clear victory in the March 22 second-round runoff, securing the most seats on the municipal council ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian and center-right challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. This outcome followed a strategic fusion with Horizons candidate Pierre Jakubowicz after the first round, consolidating left-center support and capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with the outgoing administration. With results certified by the Interior Ministry, traders anticipate her formal election as mayor when the new council convenes today, March 28. Rare disruptions—such as council defections, legal contests, or procedural holds—could theoretically alter this, though historical precedents in French municipal elections show such reversals are exceedingly uncommon.

Catherine Trautmann's commanding 99.6% implied probability in the Strasbourg mayoral election market stems from her Socialist-led list's clear victory in the March 22 second-round runoff, securing the most seats on the municipal council ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian and center-right challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. This outcome followed a strategic fusion with Horizons candidate Pierre Jakubowicz after the first round, consolidating left-center support and capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with the outgoing administration. With results certified by the Interior Ministry, traders anticipate her formal election as mayor when the new council convenes today, March 28. Rare disruptions—such as council defections, legal contests, or procedural holds—could theoretically alter this, though historical precedents in French municipal elections show such reversals are exceedingly uncommon.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann's commanding 99.6% implied probability in the Strasbourg mayoral election market stems from her Socialist-led list's clear victory in the March 22 second-round runoff, securing the most seats on the municipal council ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian and center-right challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. This outcome followed a strategic fusion with Horizons candidate Pierre Jakubowicz after the first round, consolidating left-center support and capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with the outgoing administration. With results certified by the Interior Ministry, traders anticipate her formal election as mayor when the new council convenes today, March 28. Rare disruptions—such as council defections, legal contests, or procedural holds—could theoretically alter this, though historical precedents in French municipal elections show such reversals are exceedingly uncommon.

Catherine Trautmann's commanding 99.6% implied probability in the Strasbourg mayoral election market stems from her Socialist-led list's clear victory in the March 22 second-round runoff, securing the most seats on the municipal council ahead of incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian and center-right challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. This outcome followed a strategic fusion with Horizons candidate Pierre Jakubowicz after the first round, consolidating left-center support and capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with the outgoing administration. With results certified by the Interior Ministry, traders anticipate her formal election as mayor when the new council convenes today, March 28. Rare disruptions—such as council defections, legal contests, or procedural holds—could theoretically alter this, though historical precedents in French municipal elections show such reversals are exceedingly uncommon.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カトリーヌ・トロートマン」で100%、次いで「ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner」は$125.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「カトリーヌ・トロートマン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。