Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" impressed with a robust second-weekend hold at $54.5 million—a mere 32% drop from its $109.8 million domestic debut—bolstered by stellar word-of-mouth, an A CinemaScore, and dominant IMAX performance that propelled it past $300 million globally and made it Amazon MGM's top earner. Trader consensus now tilts toward a sub-$35 million third frame (56% implied probability), reflecting tracking estimates of $35-40 million amid stiff competition from Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie," a family blockbuster eyeing $130 million-plus over Easter weekend and commandeering premium large format screens. Strong legs could push toward 35-38 million (32.5%) if repeat viewings persist, with Friday pre-sales key to refining holdover dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日「プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー」第3週末興行収入
「プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー」第3週末興行収入
＜3500万 66%
3,500万〜3,800万ドル 32%
3,800万～4,100万 9%
>4,100万ドル 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
＜3500万
56%
3,500万〜3,800万ドル
33%
3,800万～4,100万
9%
>4,100万ドル
8%
＜3500万 66%
3,500万〜3,800万ドル 32%
3,800万～4,100万 9%
>4,100万ドル 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
＜3500万
$557 Vol.
56%
3,500万〜3,800万ドル
$243 Vol.
33%
3,800万～4,100万
$221 Vol.
9%
>4,100万ドル
$440 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" impressed with a robust second-weekend hold at $54.5 million—a mere 32% drop from its $109.8 million domestic debut—bolstered by stellar word-of-mouth, an A CinemaScore, and dominant IMAX performance that propelled it past $300 million globally and made it Amazon MGM's top earner. Trader consensus now tilts toward a sub-$35 million third frame (56% implied probability), reflecting tracking estimates of $35-40 million amid stiff competition from Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie," a family blockbuster eyeing $130 million-plus over Easter weekend and commandeering premium large format screens. Strong legs could push toward 35-38 million (32.5%) if repeat viewings persist, with Friday pre-sales key to refining holdover dynamics.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$1,461終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" impressed with a robust second-weekend hold at $54.5 million—a mere 32% drop from its $109.8 million domestic debut—bolstered by stellar word-of-mouth, an A CinemaScore, and dominant IMAX performance that propelled it past $300 million globally and made it Amazon MGM's top earner. Trader consensus now tilts toward a sub-$35 million third frame (56% implied probability), reflecting tracking estimates of $35-40 million amid stiff competition from Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie," a family blockbuster eyeing $130 million-plus over Easter weekend and commandeering premium large format screens. Strong legs could push toward 35-38 million (32.5%) if repeat viewings persist, with Friday pre-sales key to refining holdover dynamics.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$1,461終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" impressed with a robust second-weekend hold at $54.5 million—a mere 32% drop from its $109.8 million domestic debut—bolstered by stellar word-of-mouth, an A CinemaScore, and dominant IMAX performance that propelled it past $300 million globally and made it Amazon MGM's top earner. Trader consensus now tilts toward a sub-$35 million third frame (56% implied probability), reflecting tracking estimates of $35-40 million amid stiff competition from Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie," a family blockbuster eyeing $130 million-plus over Easter weekend and commandeering premium large format screens. Strong legs could push toward 35-38 million (32.5%) if repeat viewings persist, with Friday pre-sales key to refining holdover dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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