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選挙·ハンガリー選挙

# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?

Market icon
選挙·ハンガリー選挙

# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?

130+ 27%

120-129 24%

110–119 19%

100–109 11%

Polymarket

$463,629 Vol.

130+ 27%

120-129 24%

110–119 19%

100–109 11%

Polymarket

$463,629 Vol.

<70

$348,201 Vol.

9%

70–79

$3,540 Vol.

1%

80–89

$50,425 Vol.

8%

90–99

$11,379 Vol.

9%

100–109

$17,470 Vol.

11%

110–119

$6,273 Vol.

19%

120-129

$5,624 Vol.

24%

130+

$20,716 Vol.

27%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.

Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.

Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「130+」で27%、次いで「120-129」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、27¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に27%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?」は$463.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?」の現在のフロントランナーは「130+」で27%であり、市場がこの結果に27%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「120-129」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。