FlightAware preliminary data reported 6,946 delays for U.S. domestic, inbound, and outbound flights on March 27, solidifying trader consensus at 100% probability for over 6,000 delays and prompting near-total rejection of lower brackets. This commanding position stems from FAA advisories citing high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) traffic, thunderstorms slowing Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), plus low clouds in San Diego (SAN), compounded by persistent air traffic controller and TSA staffing shortages amid stalled congressional funding bills for DHS agencies. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation could refine counts slightly, but downward revisions below 6,000 appear improbable given real-time tracking alignment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
>6,000 100.0%
<3,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
3,500-4,000 <1%
$11,601 Vol.
$11,601 Vol.
<3,000
No
3,000-3,500
No
3,500-4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
>6,000
Yes
>6,000 100.0%
<3,000 <1%
3,000-3,500 <1%
3,500-4,000 <1%
$11,601 Vol.
$11,601 Vol.
<3,000
No
3,000-3,500
No
3,500-4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
>6,000
Yes
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
FlightAware preliminary data reported 6,946 delays for U.S. domestic, inbound, and outbound flights on March 27, solidifying trader consensus at 100% probability for over 6,000 delays and prompting near-total rejection of lower brackets. This commanding position stems from FAA advisories citing high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) traffic, thunderstorms slowing Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), plus low clouds in San Diego (SAN), compounded by persistent air traffic controller and TSA staffing shortages amid stalled congressional funding bills for DHS agencies. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation could refine counts slightly, but downward revisions below 6,000 appear improbable given real-time tracking alignment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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