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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

María Corina Machado 100.0%

Donald Trump <1%

Pope Leo XIV <1%

Yulia Navalnaya <1%

Polymarket

$21,461,938 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, Elon Musk, Pope Leo XIII, or Yulia Navalnaya are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them, in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners, and the prize is awarded jointly to a listed individual and a listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners, and all recipients are of the same type (e.g. all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
音量
$21,461,938
終了日
Oct 10, 2025
作成日時
Jul 8, 2025, 11:36 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, Elon Musk, Pope Leo XIII, or Yulia Navalnaya are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them, in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners, and the prize is awarded jointly to a listed individual and a listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners, and all recipients are of the same type (e.g. all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "María Corina Machado" at 100%, followed by "Donald Trump" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " has generated $21.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 ," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " is "María Corina Machado" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Trump" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

María Corina Machado 100.0%

Donald Trump <1%

Pope Leo XIV <1%

Yulia Navalnaya <1%

Polymarket

$21,461,938 Vol.

Market icon

Donald Trump

$13,949,920 Vol.

No

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Pope Leo XIV

$291,688 Vol.

No

Market icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$570,196 Vol.

No

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European Union

$156,391 Vol.

No

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Julian Assange

$168,263 Vol.

No

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Ursula von der Leyen

$143,963 Vol.

No

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Greta Thunberg

$454,362 Vol.

No

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Marco Rubio

$182,068 Vol.

No

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Keir Starmer

$334,461 Vol.

No

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Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

$172,965 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$533,744 Vol.

No

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UNRWA

$104,020 Vol.

No

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International Court of Justice

$126,195 Vol.

No

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António Guterres

$208,662 Vol.

No

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Zuriel Oduwole

$287,001 Vol.

No

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Alexei Gorinov

$222,388 Vol.

No

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María Corina Machado

$2,243,006 Vol.

Yes

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Chow Hang‑tung

$199,762 Vol.

No

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Volodymyr Zelensky

$553,279 Vol.

No

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Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$522,012 Vol.

No

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Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations

$37,591 Vol.

No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "María Corina Machado" at 100%, followed by "Donald Trump" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " has generated $21.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 ," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " is "María Corina Machado" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Trump" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.