The Michael Jackson biopic's impressive theatrical legs and ability to reclaim the domestic top spot with a $26.1 million fourth-weekend gross have anchored trader sentiment around mid-to-high teens for its fifth frame. After opening to a record $97 million and posting holds of -44% and -30% in weeks two and three, the Lionsgate release has demonstrated stronger-than-expected audience retention for a musical biography, fueled by positive word-of-mouth and Michael Jackson's enduring cultural appeal. With domestic totals now exceeding $282 million and worldwide nearing $704 million, the film continues to outperform historical biopic benchmarks like Bohemian Rhapsody in North America. Traders are weighing whether another sub-35% drop will push the upcoming weekend above $19 million or settle closer to $17-19 million amid typical late-May competition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マイケル」第5週末興行収入
「マイケル」第5週末興行収入
>1,900万ドル 41%
1,700万〜1,800万 33%
1800万～1900万 28%
1,600万ドル未満 20%
新規
新規
2026/05/25
1,600万ドル未満
20%
1,600万～1,700万
20%
1,700万〜1,800万
28%
1800万～1900万
28%
>1,900万ドル
41%
>1,900万ドル 41%
1,700万〜1,800万 33%
1800万～1900万 28%
1,600万ドル未満 20%
新規
新規
2026/05/25
1,600万ドル未満
$12 Vol.
20%
1,600万～1,700万
$20 Vol.
20%
1,700万〜1,800万
$42 Vol.
28%
1800万～1900万
$12 Vol.
28%
>1,900万ドル
$23 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 22 - May 24) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Michael Jackson biopic's impressive theatrical legs and ability to reclaim the domestic top spot with a $26.1 million fourth-weekend gross have anchored trader sentiment around mid-to-high teens for its fifth frame. After opening to a record $97 million and posting holds of -44% and -30% in weeks two and three, the Lionsgate release has demonstrated stronger-than-expected audience retention for a musical biography, fueled by positive word-of-mouth and Michael Jackson's enduring cultural appeal. With domestic totals now exceeding $282 million and worldwide nearing $704 million, the film continues to outperform historical biopic benchmarks like Bohemian Rhapsody in North America. Traders are weighing whether another sub-35% drop will push the upcoming weekend above $19 million or settle closer to $17-19 million amid typical late-May competition.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 22 - May 24) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$108終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 22 - May 24) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Michael Jackson biopic's impressive theatrical legs and ability to reclaim the domestic top spot with a $26.1 million fourth-weekend gross have anchored trader sentiment around mid-to-high teens for its fifth frame. After opening to a record $97 million and posting holds of -44% and -30% in weeks two and three, the Lionsgate release has demonstrated stronger-than-expected audience retention for a musical biography, fueled by positive word-of-mouth and Michael Jackson's enduring cultural appeal. With domestic totals now exceeding $282 million and worldwide nearing $704 million, the film continues to outperform historical biopic benchmarks like Bohemian Rhapsody in North America. Traders are weighing whether another sub-35% drop will push the upcoming weekend above $19 million or settle closer to $17-19 million amid typical late-May competition.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fifth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 22 - May 24) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$108終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Michael Jackson biopic's impressive theatrical legs and ability to reclaim the domestic top spot with a $26.1 million fourth-weekend gross have anchored trader sentiment around mid-to-high teens for its fifth frame. After opening to a record $97 million and posting holds of -44% and -30% in weeks two and three, the Lionsgate release has demonstrated stronger-than-expected audience retention for a musical biography, fueled by positive word-of-mouth and Michael Jackson's enduring cultural appeal. With domestic totals now exceeding $282 million and worldwide nearing $704 million, the film continues to outperform historical biopic benchmarks like Bohemian Rhapsody in North America. Traders are weighing whether another sub-35% drop will push the upcoming weekend above $19 million or settle closer to $17-19 million amid typical late-May competition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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