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icon for オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート

オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート

icon for オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート

オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート

新規
2027/01/21
Polymarket

$1,413 Vol.

Polymarket

John Malkovich

$31 Vol.

71%

Tom Cruise

$537 Vol.

78%

Matt Damon

$86 Vol.

75%

Ryan Gosling

$253 Vol.

61%

Andrew Scott

$0 Vol.

53%

Sebastian Stan

$0 Vol.

48%

Javier Bardem

$40 Vol.

45%

Timothée Chalamet

$124 Vol.

44%

Robert Aramayo

$72 Vol.

44%

Jeremy Strong

$58 Vol.

43%

Josh O'Connor

$41 Vol.

42%

Sam Rockwell

$0 Vol.

39%

Adam Driver

$0 Vol.

38%

Pedro Pascal

$0 Vol.

34%

Brad Pitt

$21 Vol.

24%

John Turturro

$62 Vol.

21%

Jaafar Jackson

$87 Vol.

23%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile 2026 releases featuring veteran stars and auteur directors. Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ Digger and John Malkovich in Searchlight’s Wild Horse Nine top most June 2026 prediction lists, followed by Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s Project Hail Mary, Sebastian Stan in NEON’s Fjord, and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. These placements reflect trader focus on proven box-office draws, awards-friendly narratives, and studio campaign machinery rather than completed films. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, guild screenings, and precursor season launches, which historically shift momentum once critics and voters see the performances. The race remains fluid given the long timeline and limited released footage.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,413
終了日
2027/01/21
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile 2026 releases featuring veteran stars and auteur directors. Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ Digger and John Malkovich in Searchlight’s Wild Horse Nine top most June 2026 prediction lists, followed by Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s Project Hail Mary, Sebastian Stan in NEON’s Fjord, and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. These placements reflect trader focus on proven box-office draws, awards-friendly narratives, and studio campaign machinery rather than completed films. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, guild screenings, and precursor season launches, which historically shift momentum once critics and voters see the performances. The race remains fluid given the long timeline and limited released footage.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,413
終了日
2027/01/21
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Tom Cruise」で78%、次いで「Matt Damon」が75%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート」の現在のフロントランナーは「Tom Cruise」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Matt Damon」で75%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞ノミネート」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。