Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Next James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 28%
No Bond chosen 20.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 15.2%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,033 Vol.
$17,033 Vol.
Callum Turner
28%
No Bond chosen
23%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
15%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Jack Lowdon
23%
Tom Holland
4%
James Norton
23%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Henry Cavill
18%
Robert James-Collier
50%
Timothee Chalamet
29%
Paul Mescal
47%
Harris Dickinson
48%
Pierce Brosnan
44%
Theo James
42%
Michael B Jordan
34%
Callum Turner 28%
No Bond chosen 20.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 15.2%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,033 Vol.
$17,033 Vol.
Callum Turner
28%
No Bond chosen
23%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
15%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Jack Lowdon
23%
Tom Holland
4%
James Norton
23%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Henry Cavill
18%
Robert James-Collier
50%
Timothee Chalamet
29%
Paul Mescal
47%
Harris Dickinson
48%
Pierce Brosnan
44%
Theo James
42%
Michael B Jordan
34%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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