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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Josh O'Connor 6.7%

Jack Lowdon 6.5%

Polymarket
新規

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Josh O'Connor 6.7%

Jack Lowdon 6.5%

Polymarket
新規

Callum Turner

$140 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

9%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

7%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

6%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$304 Vol.

6%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

4%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

4%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Vol.

4%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$171 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold under Amazon MGM Studios, has intensified trader focus on established frontrunner Callum Turner at 35% implied probability. His rising profile from prestige projects like Masters of the Air aligns with the studio’s reported preference for a British actor in his 30s who can carry a long franchise run. Jacob Elordi and James Norton follow at single digits amid broader speculation, while the 6% chance of no selection yet reflects the early stage of the process. Recent audition reports, including emerging names like stage actor Tom Francis, underscore an open field without a clear frontrunner beyond Turner’s market lead. Upcoming casting updates and precursor signals will likely drive further shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,973
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold under Amazon MGM Studios, has intensified trader focus on established frontrunner Callum Turner at 35% implied probability. His rising profile from prestige projects like Masters of the Air aligns with the studio’s reported preference for a British actor in his 30s who can carry a long franchise run. Jacob Elordi and James Norton follow at single digits amid broader speculation, while the 6% chance of no selection yet reflects the early stage of the process. Recent audition reports, including emerging names like stage actor Tom Francis, underscore an open field without a clear frontrunner beyond Turner’s market lead. Upcoming casting updates and precursor signals will likely drive further shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,973
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next James Bond actor?」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Callum Turner」で35%、次いで「James Norton」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Next James Bond actor?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 18, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Next James Bond actor?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next James Bond actor?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Callum Turner」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「James Norton」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next James Bond actor?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。