Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マイケル」第3週末興行収入
「マイケル」第3週末興行収入
3,800万超 34%
3,200万未満 27%
3,200万～3,500万ドル 23%
3,500万～3,800万 17%
新規
新規
2026/05/11
3,200万未満
27%
3,200万～3,500万ドル
23%
3,500万～3,800万
17%
3,800万超
34%
3,800万超 34%
3,200万未満 27%
3,200万～3,500万ドル 23%
3,500万～3,800万 17%
新規
新規
2026/05/11
3,200万未満
$410 Vol.
27%
3,200万～3,500万ドル
$737 Vol.
23%
3,500万～3,800万
$375 Vol.
17%
3,800万超
$596 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$2,119終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$2,119終了日
2026/05/11マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic demonstrated impressive box office legs with a $54.4 million second-weekend domestic gross, down just 44% from its record-shattering $97.2 million debut, pushing cumulative earnings past $184 million despite scathing critic reviews and strong competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. This fan-driven word-of-mouth—bolstered by praise for Jaafar Jackson's lead performance—has traders evenly split across outcome buckets, with market-implied odds reflecting projections hovering near the $32-38 million range for the upcoming third weekend. Key differentiators include sustained audience scores, potential for sub-40% drops akin to Bohemian Rhapsody's trajectory, versus risks from expanding rival releases and typical multi-drop acceleration; watch Friday tracking updates for momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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