Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
クリストファー・ノーラン 54%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 21%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン 9.3%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー 8.1%
$13,142 Vol.
$13,142 Vol.
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
54%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
21%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
9%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
8%
マーティン・マクドナー
7%
アーロン・ソーキン
5%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
5%
ピーター・ファレリー
8%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
2%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
8%
ランス・オッペンハイム
7%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
1%
バッサム・タリク
<1%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
7%
クリストファー・ノーラン 54%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 21%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン 9.3%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー 8.1%
$13,142 Vol.
$13,142 Vol.
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
$8,343 Vol.
54%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
$783 Vol.
21%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
$148 Vol.
9%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
$192 Vol.
8%
マーティン・マクドナー
$278 Vol.
7%
アーロン・ソーキン
$154 Vol.
5%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
$1,494 Vol.
5%
ピーター・ファレリー
$158 Vol.
8%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
$208 Vol.
2%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
$198 Vol.
8%
ランス・オッペンハイム
$673 Vol.
7%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
$215 Vol.
1%
バッサム・タリク
$158 Vol.
<1%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
$139 Vol.
7%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
音量
$13,142終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,142終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問