With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show opposition Tisza party leading Fidesz-KDNP in most surveys, including Republikon (49%-40%, March 23-26) and Medián (58%-35%, March 17-20), projecting Tisza near the 100-seat majority threshold while Fidesz secures around 80-90 seats amid far-right Mi Hazánk gains. A new documentary highlighted March 27 alleges Fidesz engages in rural vote-buying via cash, firewood, jobs, and coercion, targeting up to 600,000 voters and raising integrity concerns. Fidesz reports robust rally crowds in Győr and Veszprém, while billboards link Tisza leader Péter Magyar to Zelenskyy in a "war vs. peace" narrative. Divergent Fidesz-friendly polls claim leads, underscoring methodological debates; turnout in single-member districts and undecideds will decide seat allocation in the 199-seat parliament.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$161,307 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
80以上
53%
90以上
42%
100+
26%
110以上
19%
$161,307 Vol.
80以上
$98,073 Vol.
53%
90以上
$43,372 Vol.
42%
100+
$8,342 Vol.
26%
110以上
$11,521 Vol.
19%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show opposition Tisza party leading Fidesz-KDNP in most surveys, including Republikon (49%-40%, March 23-26) and Medián (58%-35%, March 17-20), projecting Tisza near the 100-seat majority threshold while Fidesz secures around 80-90 seats amid far-right Mi Hazánk gains. A new documentary highlighted March 27 alleges Fidesz engages in rural vote-buying via cash, firewood, jobs, and coercion, targeting up to 600,000 voters and raising integrity concerns. Fidesz reports robust rally crowds in Győr and Veszprém, while billboards link Tisza leader Péter Magyar to Zelenskyy in a "war vs. peace" narrative. Divergent Fidesz-friendly polls claim leads, underscoring methodological debates; turnout in single-member districts and undecideds will decide seat allocation in the 199-seat parliament.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
音量
$161,307終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show opposition Tisza party leading Fidesz-KDNP in most surveys, including Republikon (49%-40%, March 23-26) and Medián (58%-35%, March 17-20), projecting Tisza near the 100-seat majority threshold while Fidesz secures around 80-90 seats amid far-right Mi Hazánk gains. A new documentary highlighted March 27 alleges Fidesz engages in rural vote-buying via cash, firewood, jobs, and coercion, targeting up to 600,000 voters and raising integrity concerns. Fidesz reports robust rally crowds in Győr and Veszprém, while billboards link Tisza leader Péter Magyar to Zelenskyy in a "war vs. peace" narrative. Divergent Fidesz-friendly polls claim leads, underscoring methodological debates; turnout in single-member districts and undecideds will decide seat allocation in the 199-seat parliament.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$161,307終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show opposition Tisza party leading Fidesz-KDNP in most surveys, including Republikon (49%-40%, March 23-26) and Medián (58%-35%, March 17-20), projecting Tisza near the 100-seat majority threshold while Fidesz secures around 80-90 seats amid far-right Mi Hazánk gains. A new documentary highlighted March 27 alleges Fidesz engages in rural vote-buying via cash, firewood, jobs, and coercion, targeting up to 600,000 voters and raising integrity concerns. Fidesz reports robust rally crowds in Győr and Veszprém, while billboards link Tisza leader Péter Magyar to Zelenskyy in a "war vs. peace" narrative. Divergent Fidesz-friendly polls claim leads, underscoring methodological debates; turnout in single-member districts and undecideds will decide seat allocation in the 199-seat parliament.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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