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Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

20°C 34%

19°C 28%

18°C 17%

21°C 12%

Polymarket

$114,849 Vol.

20°C 34%

19°C 28%

18°C 17%

21°C 12%

Polymarket

$114,849 Vol.

13°C or below

$2,605 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$101,834 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$1,436 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$1,256 Vol.

1%

17°C

$1,087 Vol.

6%

18°C

$1,546 Vol.

17%

19°C

$880 Vol.

28%

20°C

$990 Vol.

34%

21°C

$984 Vol.

12%

22°C

$813 Vol.

5%

23°C or higher

$1,417 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble weather model forecasts for Wellington's highest temperature on March 29, with 20°C (32%) edging 19°C (29.5%) amid subtle shifts in recent runs from MetService and global models like ECMWF and GFS. Latest updates over the past 48 hours show the ensemble mean hovering near 19.8°C, influenced by anticipated southerly winds moderating daytime heating after a mild front clears, while lingering low cloud could cap peaks below 20°C. Historical late-March highs average 20.1°C at Wellington Airport, but current sea surface temperatures and neutral ENSO conditions support this narrow range. Traders await tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for potential clarification before the event.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$114,849
終了日
Mar 29, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble weather model forecasts for Wellington's highest temperature on March 29, with 20°C (32%) edging 19°C (29.5%) amid subtle shifts in recent runs from MetService and global models like ECMWF and GFS. Latest updates over the past 48 hours show the ensemble mean hovering near 19.8°C, influenced by anticipated southerly winds moderating daytime heating after a mild front clears, while lingering low cloud could cap peaks below 20°C. Historical late-March highs average 20.1°C at Wellington Airport, but current sea surface temperatures and neutral ENSO conditions support this narrow range. Traders await tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for potential clarification before the event.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble weather model forecasts for Wellington's highest temperature on March 29, with 20°C (32%) edging 19°C (29.5%) amid subtle shifts in recent runs from MetService and global models like ECMWF and GFS. Latest updates over the past 48 hours show the ensemble mean hovering near 19.8°C, influenced by anticipated southerly winds moderating daytime heating after a mild front clears, while lingering low cloud could cap peaks below 20°C. Historical late-March highs average 20.1°C at Wellington Airport, but current sea surface temperatures and neutral ENSO conditions support this narrow range. Traders await tomorrow's 12Z model refresh for potential clarification before the event.

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20°C」で34%、次いで「19°C」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?」は$114.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20°C」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「19°C」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。