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Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

10°C 99.8%

11°C <1%

12°C <1%

13°C <1%

Polymarket

$68,764 Vol.

10°C 99.8%

11°C <1%

12°C <1%

13°C <1%

Polymarket

$68,764 Vol.

10°C

$11,108 Vol.

100%

11°C

$7,530 Vol.

<1%

12°C

$5,302 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$5,942 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$5,548 Vol.

<1%

15°C or higher

$5,564 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution weather model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 10°C for Warsaw on March 27, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. This consensus reflects a stable mild air mass over Central Europe, with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed trends in recent 00Z and 12Z model runs. Historical late-March averages for Warsaw hover around 9-11°C, aligning with this forecast amid neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies boosting insolation for a 1°C spike or a late cold front dropping it below, though official station measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market with minimal uncertainty as the date nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$68,764
終了日
Mar 27, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution weather model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 10°C for Warsaw on March 27, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. This consensus reflects a stable mild air mass over Central Europe, with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed trends in recent 00Z and 12Z model runs. Historical late-March averages for Warsaw hover around 9-11°C, aligning with this forecast amid neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies boosting insolation for a 1°C spike or a late cold front dropping it below, though official station measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market with minimal uncertainty as the date nears.

Latest high-resolution weather model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) converge on a maximum temperature of exactly 10°C for Warsaw on March 27, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. This consensus reflects a stable mild air mass over Central Europe, with light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, consistent with observed trends in recent 00Z and 12Z model runs. Historical late-March averages for Warsaw hover around 9-11°C, aligning with this forecast amid neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies boosting insolation for a 1°C spike or a late cold front dropping it below, though official station measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport will resolve the market with minimal uncertainty as the date nears.

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「10°C」で100%、次いで「11°C」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?」は$68.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?」の現在のフロントランナーは「10°C」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「11°C」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。