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Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

62～63°F 57%

64〜65°F 26%

60～61°F 11%

58〜59°F 3.9%

Polymarket

$118,461 Vol.

62～63°F 57%

64〜65°F 26%

60～61°F 11%

58〜59°F 3.9%

Polymarket

$118,461 Vol.

49°F以下

$10,876 Vol.

<1%

50〜51°F

$6,312 Vol.

<1%

52〜53°F

$6,553 Vol.

1%

54～55°F

$6,937 Vol.

2%

56〜57°F

$8,231 Vol.

2%

58〜59°F

$9,660 Vol.

4%

60～61°F

$10,771 Vol.

11%

62～63°F

$10,226 Vol.

57%

64〜65°F

$13,654 Vol.

26%

66〜67°F

$13,643 Vol.

3%

68°F or higher

$22,682 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 62-63°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance and ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showing a tight clustering around mid-60s daytime highs. A building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast is promoting warm advection aloft, with 850mb temperatures forecast at +8°C to +10°C—well above seasonal norms—supporting surface highs in this range despite lingering light winds and partial cloud cover. The 64-65°F outcome (26.5%) reflects slight upside potential from the ECMWF model, while lower bins like 60-61°F (17%) account for possible marine layer effects or timing of peak heating. Historical March averages hover near 52°F, but current climatological analogs to weak El Niño persistence favor above-normal warmth. Traders await tomorrow's 00Z model updates and NWS forecast discussion for potential refinements ahead of the event.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$118,461
終了日
Mar 27, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 62-63°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance and ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showing a tight clustering around mid-60s daytime highs. A building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast is promoting warm advection aloft, with 850mb temperatures forecast at +8°C to +10°C—well above seasonal norms—supporting surface highs in this range despite lingering light winds and partial cloud cover. The 64-65°F outcome (26.5%) reflects slight upside potential from the ECMWF model, while lower bins like 60-61°F (17%) account for possible marine layer effects or timing of peak heating. Historical March averages hover near 52°F, but current climatological analogs to weak El Niño persistence favor above-normal warmth. Traders await tomorrow's 00Z model updates and NWS forecast discussion for potential refinements ahead of the event.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 62-63°F (47.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance and ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showing a tight clustering around mid-60s daytime highs. A building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast is promoting warm advection aloft, with 850mb temperatures forecast at +8°C to +10°C—well above seasonal norms—supporting surface highs in this range despite lingering light winds and partial cloud cover. The 64-65°F outcome (26.5%) reflects slight upside potential from the ECMWF model, while lower bins like 60-61°F (17%) account for possible marine layer effects or timing of peak heating. Historical March averages hover near 52°F, but current climatological analogs to weak El Niño persistence favor above-normal warmth. Traders await tomorrow's 00Z model updates and NWS forecast discussion for potential refinements ahead of the event.

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「62～63°F」で57%、次いで「64〜65°F」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、57¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に57%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?」は$118.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?」の現在のフロントランナーは「62～63°F」で57%であり、市場がこの結果に57%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「64〜65°F」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。