Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Madrid's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 12–13°C, driving the near-even trader split (33% for 13°C, 30.5% for 12°C) as minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover create uncertainty. Spain's AEMET guidance aligns with this consensus, noting a cool northerly flow suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 14–16°C amid recent frontal passages over Iberia. Short-range model runs updated in the past 24 hours refined the outlook after yesterday's cooler-than-expected readings, but diurnally varying insolation could tip outcomes. Watch AEMET's 12z update and morning observations for potential shifts before evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?
13°C 32%
12°C 31%
14°C 17%
11°C or below 15%
$117,425 Vol.
$117,425 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
11°C or below
15%
12°C
31%
13°C
32%
14°C
17%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
13°C 32%
12°C 31%
14°C 17%
11°C or below 15%
$117,425 Vol.
$117,425 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
11°C or below
$2,089 Vol.
15%
12°C
$1,266 Vol.
31%
13°C
$1,122 Vol.
32%
14°C
$1,916 Vol.
17%
15°C
$1,256 Vol.
5%
16°C
$1,087 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,284 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,266 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$65,705 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$38,744 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Madrid's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 12–13°C, driving the near-even trader split (33% for 13°C, 30.5% for 12°C) as minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover create uncertainty. Spain's AEMET guidance aligns with this consensus, noting a cool northerly flow suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 14–16°C amid recent frontal passages over Iberia. Short-range model runs updated in the past 24 hours refined the outlook after yesterday's cooler-than-expected readings, but diurnally varying insolation could tip outcomes. Watch AEMET's 12z update and morning observations for potential shifts before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
音量
$117,425終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Madrid's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 12–13°C, driving the near-even trader split (33% for 13°C, 30.5% for 12°C) as minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover create uncertainty. Spain's AEMET guidance aligns with this consensus, noting a cool northerly flow suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 14–16°C amid recent frontal passages over Iberia. Short-range model runs updated in the past 24 hours refined the outlook after yesterday's cooler-than-expected readings, but diurnally varying insolation could tip outcomes. Watch AEMET's 12z update and morning observations for potential shifts before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$117,425終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Madrid's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 12–13°C, driving the near-even trader split (33% for 13°C, 30.5% for 12°C) as minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover create uncertainty. Spain's AEMET guidance aligns with this consensus, noting a cool northerly flow suppressing highs below seasonal norms of 14–16°C amid recent frontal passages over Iberia. Short-range model runs updated in the past 24 hours refined the outlook after yesterday's cooler-than-expected readings, but diurnally varying insolation could tip outcomes. Watch AEMET's 12z update and morning observations for potential shifts before evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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