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ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

Market icon

ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

フィンランド 35.9%

フランス 13.5%

デンマーク 11.1%

オーストラリア 6.3%

Polymarket

$56,577,559 Vol.

フィンランド 35.9%

フランス 13.5%

デンマーク 11.1%

オーストラリア 6.3%

Polymarket

$56,577,559 Vol.

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フィンランド

$1,896,338 Vol.

36%

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フランス

$1,457,429 Vol.

14%

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デンマーク

$1,013,865 Vol.

11%

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オーストラリア

$1,235,732 Vol.

6%

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ギリシャ

$1,355,549 Vol.

6%

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イスラエル

$1,269,155 Vol.

4%

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スウェーデン

$976,083 Vol.

3%

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ウクライナ

$1,171,848 Vol.

3%

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イタリア

$1,581,139 Vol.

2%

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ルーマニア

$931,872 Vol.

2%

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チェコ

$830,582 Vol.

1%

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キプロス

$1,155,215 Vol.

1%

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マルタ

$1,051,659 Vol.

1%

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ブルガリア

$1,130,888 Vol.

1%

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ベルギー

$1,271,850 Vol.

1%

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クロアチア

$982,507 Vol.

1%

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ドイツ

$911,254 Vol.

1%

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ルクセンブルク

$1,072,388 Vol.

1%

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モルドバ

$1,211,180 Vol.

1%

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ノルウェー

$1,330,427 Vol.

1%

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スイス

$2,320,066 Vol.

1%

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イギリス

$720,305 Vol.

1%

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リトアニア

$1,950,042 Vol.

1%

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アルバニア

$2,282,842 Vol.

<1%

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オーストリア

$2,359,656 Vol.

<1%

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エストニア

$2,753,280 Vol.

<1%

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ラトビア

$2,318,958 Vol.

<1%

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サンマリノ

$2,555,464 Vol.

<1%

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アルメニア

$2,308,904 Vol.

<1%

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アゼルバイジャン

$2,673,394 Vol.

<1%

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ジョージア

$2,413,385 Vol.

<1%

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モンテネグロ

$2,920,864 Vol.

<1%

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ポーランド

$2,132,473 Vol.

<1%

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セルビア

$824,855 Vol.

<1%

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ポルトガル

$2,211,316 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominates trader consensus at 35.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by its commanding UMK national final victory in late February, where it earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential echoing Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" momentum. France (13.5%) and Denmark (10.9%) trail as solid contenders post their Dansk Melodi Grand Prix and equivalent selections, bolstered by early OGAE fan votes—France awarding Finland its 12 points—and public polls favoring Nordic entries. With all 35 songs released ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 contest, recent betting shifts reflect hype around staging reveals and rehearsal buzz, though jury-televote splits remain a key wildcard for upsets.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$56,577,559
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominates trader consensus at 35.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by its commanding UMK national final victory in late February, where it earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential echoing Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" momentum. France (13.5%) and Denmark (10.9%) trail as solid contenders post their Dansk Melodi Grand Prix and equivalent selections, bolstered by early OGAE fan votes—France awarding Finland its 12 points—and public polls favoring Nordic entries. With all 35 songs released ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 contest, recent betting shifts reflect hype around staging reveals and rehearsal buzz, though jury-televote splits remain a key wildcard for upsets.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$56,577,559
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィンランド」で36%、次いで「フランス」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」は$56.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィンランド」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「フランス」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。