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ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

Market icon

ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026

フィンランド 35.7%

フランス 13.9%

デンマーク 10.1%

オーストラリア 6.5%

Polymarket

$54,735,526 Vol.

フィンランド 35.7%

フランス 13.9%

デンマーク 10.1%

オーストラリア 6.5%

Polymarket

$54,735,526 Vol.

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フィンランド

$1,865,295 Vol.

36%

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フランス

$1,430,892 Vol.

14%

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デンマーク

$964,625 Vol.

10%

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オーストラリア

$1,208,940 Vol.

6%

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ギリシャ

$1,327,306 Vol.

6%

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イスラエル

$1,248,281 Vol.

4%

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スウェーデン

$953,019 Vol.

4%

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ウクライナ

$1,140,625 Vol.

2%

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イタリア

$1,547,392 Vol.

2%

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ルーマニア

$914,005 Vol.

2%

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チェコ

$820,265 Vol.

1%

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キプロス

$1,128,018 Vol.

1%

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マルタ

$1,033,003 Vol.

1%

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ブルガリア

$1,120,390 Vol.

1%

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ドイツ

$900,199 Vol.

1%

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ルクセンブルク

$1,033,898 Vol.

1%

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ベルギー

$1,258,019 Vol.

1%

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クロアチア

$949,926 Vol.

1%

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モルドバ

$1,201,741 Vol.

1%

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ノルウェー

$1,306,870 Vol.

1%

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スイス

$2,309,383 Vol.

1%

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イギリス

$717,251 Vol.

1%

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アルバニア

$2,146,405 Vol.

<1%

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オーストリア

$2,223,050 Vol.

<1%

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エストニア

$2,634,228 Vol.

<1%

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ラトビア

$2,195,793 Vol.

<1%

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サンマリノ

$2,420,110 Vol.

<1%

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アルメニア

$2,181,195 Vol.

<1%

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アゼルバイジャン

$2,559,244 Vol.

<1%

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ジョージア

$2,288,780 Vol.

<1%

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リトアニア

$1,933,957 Vol.

<1%

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モンテネグロ

$2,785,613 Vol.

<1%

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ポーランド

$1,988,196 Vol.

<1%

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セルビア

$817,089 Vol.

<1%

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ポルトガル

$2,187,373 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35.7% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their UMK 2026 victory on February 28, propelled by its high-energy fusion of violin flair and pop hooks that dominated jury scores and sparked televote buzz, further boosted by topping recent OGAE fan polls and chart climbs. France's Monroe with "Regarde" holds 13.9% after a strong post-reveal surge, leveraging operatic drama akin to recent winners, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" at 10.2% gains from DMGP momentum and Nordic streaming traction. With Vienna semis looming in May, trader consensus reflects early national selection strengths amid ongoing reveals, though televote wildcards and staging could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$54,735,526
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35.7% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their UMK 2026 victory on February 28, propelled by its high-energy fusion of violin flair and pop hooks that dominated jury scores and sparked televote buzz, further boosted by topping recent OGAE fan polls and chart climbs. France's Monroe with "Regarde" holds 13.9% after a strong post-reveal surge, leveraging operatic drama akin to recent winners, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" at 10.2% gains from DMGP momentum and Nordic streaming traction. With Vienna semis looming in May, trader consensus reflects early national selection strengths amid ongoing reveals, though televote wildcards and staging could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$54,735,526
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィンランド」で36%、次いで「フランス」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」は$54.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィンランド」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「フランス」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン・チャンピオン2026」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。