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Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$109,390 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$109,390 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$1,825 Vol.

90%

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Israel

$7,696 Vol.

85%

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Greece

$3,086 Vol.

78%

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Sweden

$360 Vol.

77%

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France

$10,840 Vol.

77%

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Denmark

$15,210 Vol.

76%

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Ukraine

$1,148 Vol.

74%

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Australia

$0 Vol.

72%

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Italy

$7,563 Vol.

70%

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Romania

$8,116 Vol.

42%

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Bulgaria

$559 Vol.

41%

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Moldova

$3,357 Vol.

41%

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Czechia

$2,768 Vol.

38%

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Cyprus

$10,591 Vol.

36%

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Latvia

$553 Vol.

32%

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Malta

$5,501 Vol.

30%

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Croatia

$2,724 Vol.

26%

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Norway

$1,955 Vol.

19%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

18%

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Luxembourg

$339 Vol.

18%

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United Kingdom

$0 Vol.

18%

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Armenia

$0 Vol.

16%

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Lithuania

$10,006 Vol.

14%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

14%

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Serbia

$7,859 Vol.

13%

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Georgia

$0 Vol.

12%

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Switzerland

$0 Vol.

12%

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Montenegro

$0 Vol.

11%

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Poland

$1,577 Vol.

9%

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Germany

$4,079 Vol.

8%

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Belgium

$758 Vol.

8%

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Azerbaijan

$0 Vol.

7%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

7%

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San Marino

$300 Vol.

6%

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Austria

$619 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 wrapping up by mid-March—including finals in Poland, Portugal, and Sweden—the full lineup is set for Vienna, Austria, where Austria hosts after JJ's "Wasted Love" triumphed in 2025. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Finland's entry as the frontrunner for a top finish, driven by surging Spotify streams, positive preview reactions, and strong UMK performance, while Denmark, France, Greece, and Israel show televote momentum from fan polls and historical jury appeal. Nordic entries echo recent successes like 2024's Nemo, but staging rehearsals and the May 12-16 event schedule, including semi-final allocations, could spark shifts amid Eurovision's unpredictable jury-televote split.

With national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 wrapping up by mid-March—including finals in Poland, Portugal, and Sweden—the full lineup is set for Vienna, Austria, where Austria hosts after JJ's "Wasted Love" triumphed in 2025. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Finland's entry as the frontrunner for a top finish, driven by surging Spotify streams, positive preview reactions, and strong UMK performance, while Denmark, France, Greece, and Israel show televote momentum from fan polls and historical jury appeal. Nordic entries echo recent successes like 2024's Nemo, but staging rehearsals and the May 12-16 event schedule, including semi-final allocations, could spark shifts amid Eurovision's unpredictable jury-televote split.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 wrapping up by mid-March—including finals in Poland, Portugal, and Sweden—the full lineup is set for Vienna, Austria, where Austria hosts after JJ's "Wasted Love" triumphed in 2025. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Finland's entry as the frontrunner for a top finish, driven by surging Spotify streams, positive preview reactions, and strong UMK performance, while Denmark, France, Greece, and Israel show televote momentum from fan polls and historical jury appeal. Nordic entries echo recent successes like 2024's Nemo, but staging rehearsals and the May 12-16 event schedule, including semi-final allocations, could spark shifts amid Eurovision's unpredictable jury-televote split.

With national selections for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 wrapping up by mid-March—including finals in Poland, Portugal, and Sweden—the full lineup is set for Vienna, Austria, where Austria hosts after JJ's "Wasted Love" triumphed in 2025. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Finland's entry as the frontrunner for a top finish, driven by surging Spotify streams, positive preview reactions, and strong UMK performance, while Denmark, France, Greece, and Israel show televote momentum from fan polls and historical jury appeal. Nordic entries echo recent successes like 2024's Nemo, but staging rehearsals and the May 12-16 event schedule, including semi-final allocations, could spark shifts amid Eurovision's unpredictable jury-televote split.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Eurovision 2026: Top 10」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Finland」で90%、次いで「Israel」が85%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、90¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に90%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Eurovision 2026: Top 10」は$109.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Top 10」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Top 10」の現在のフロントランナーは「Finland」で90%であり、市場がこの結果に90%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Israel」で85%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Eurovision 2026: Top 10」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。