Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$304,890 Vol.
31 mag 2026
May 19
81%
May 20
21%
May 21
19%
May 22
19%
May 23
19%
May 24
18%
May 25
19%
May 26
19%
May 27
18%
May 28
16%
May 29
18%
May 30
19%
May 31
44%
$304,890 Vol.
May 19
$46 Vol.
81%
May 20
$110 Vol.
21%
May 21
$0 Vol.
19%
May 22
$2 Vol.
19%
May 23
$0 Vol.
19%
May 24
$0 Vol.
18%
May 25
$0 Vol.
19%
May 26
$0 Vol.
19%
May 27
$0 Vol.
18%
May 28
$0 Vol.
16%
May 29
$0 Vol.
18%
May 30
$6 Vol.
19%
May 31
$24 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$304,890Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$304,890Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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