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Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

NUOVO
31 mag 2026
Polymarket

$159 Vol.

Polymarket

May 1

$159 Vol.

28%

May 2

$0 Vol.

45%

May 3

$0 Vol.

41%

May 4

$0 Vol.

36%

May 5

$0 Vol.

37%

May 6

$0 Vol.

36%

May 7

$0 Vol.

37%

May 8

$0 Vol.

41%

May 9

$0 Vol.

41%

May 10

$0 Vol.

41%

May 11

$0 Vol.

41%

May 12

$0 Vol.

41%

May 13

$0 Vol.

41%

May 14

$0 Vol.

41%

May 15

$0 Vol.

41%

May 16

$0 Vol.

41%

May 17

$0 Vol.

41%

May 18

$0 Vol.

41%

May 19

$0 Vol.

41%

May 20

$0 Vol.

41%

May 21

$0 Vol.

41%

May 22

$0 Vol.

41%

May 23

$0 Vol.

41%

May 24

$0 Vol.

41%

May 25

$0 Vol.

41%

May 26

$0 Vol.

41%

May 27

$0 Vol.

41%

May 28

$0 Vol.

41%

May 29

$0 Vol.

41%

May 30

$0 Vol.

41%

May 31

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature "YMCA dance"—a fist-pumping, hip-shaking move popularized at campaign rallies and UFC events—has evolved into a pop culture meme, spawning daily Polymarket props on whether he'll perform it publicly on specific dates like May 8 or 17. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of dancing at high-energy, celebratory appearances (e.g., resolved Yes markets at TPUSA and Easter events) but skipping formal ones, as at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner, cut short by a security scare and shooter evacuation with no performance. No public schedule is confirmed for near-term dates, but a May 2-3 visit to Trump National Doral for the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship could spark momentum if it includes rally-style festivities; resolution demands verifiable video of intentional dancing amid heightened security scrutiny post-incident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$159
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature "YMCA dance"—a fist-pumping, hip-shaking move popularized at campaign rallies and UFC events—has evolved into a pop culture meme, spawning daily Polymarket props on whether he'll perform it publicly on specific dates like May 8 or 17. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of dancing at high-energy, celebratory appearances (e.g., resolved Yes markets at TPUSA and Easter events) but skipping formal ones, as at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner, cut short by a security scare and shooter evacuation with no performance. No public schedule is confirmed for near-term dates, but a May 2-3 visit to Trump National Doral for the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship could spark momentum if it includes rally-style festivities; resolution demands verifiable video of intentional dancing amid heightened security scrutiny post-incident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$159
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Trump dance on...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 31 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "May 2" a 45%, seguito da "May 3" a 41%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Trump dance on...?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 28, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Trump dance on...?", esplora i 31 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Will Trump dance on...?" è "May 2" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "May 3" a 41%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Trump dance on...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.