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icon for Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?
Geopolitica·Putin

Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?

icon for Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?
Geopolitica·Putin

Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?

lug 1, 2027

lug 1, 2027

$24,980,168 Vol.

30 set 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
Polymarket

$24,980,168 Vol.

Polymarket

30 settembre 2026

$1,358,968 Vol.

<1%

31 dicembre 2026

$21,823,588 Vol.

5%

30 giugno 2027

$443,659 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Russia's tightly controlled political system and recent parliamentary elections have reinforced trader expectations of continuity for President Vladimir Putin. The September 2026 vote, framed by the Kremlin as a referendum on the Ukraine conflict, featured limited opposition participation and early indications of strong results for United Russia. Ongoing U.S.-brokered diplomatic contacts, battlefield developments, and economic pressures from the war have not produced verifiable signs of elite challenges or institutional shifts that would alter succession timelines. Putin remains the central decision-maker on foreign policy and security appointments, with structural barriers including constitutional term rules and loyal security structures limiting near-term removal scenarios. Upcoming legislative sessions and any escalation or de-escalation in Ukraine negotiations represent the main scheduled catalysts that could influence assessments of stability through 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,980,168
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Russia's tightly controlled political system and recent parliamentary elections have reinforced trader expectations of continuity for President Vladimir Putin. The September 2026 vote, framed by the Kremlin as a referendum on the Ukraine conflict, featured limited opposition participation and early indications of strong results for United Russia. Ongoing U.S.-brokered diplomatic contacts, battlefield developments, and economic pressures from the war have not produced verifiable signs of elite challenges or institutional shifts that would alter succession timelines. Putin remains the central decision-maker on foreign policy and security appointments, with structural barriers including constitutional term rules and loyal security structures limiting near-term removal scenarios. Upcoming legislative sessions and any escalation or de-escalation in Ukraine negotiations represent the main scheduled catalysts that could influence assessments of stability through 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,980,168
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Accordo di cessate il fuoco tra Russia e Ucraina entro il 31 dicembre 2027?

Accordo di cessate il fuoco tra Russia e Ucraina entro il 31 dicembre 2027?

71%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30 giugno 2027" a 14%, seguito da "31 dicembre 2026" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 14¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?" ha generato $25 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?" è "30 giugno 2027" a 14%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "31 dicembre 2026" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Putin come Presidente della Russia entro...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.