Democrats currently hold no majority in the House, where any impeachment resolution must originate, but prediction markets reflect strong expectations of a Democratic takeover in the November 2026 midterms. Multiple articles of impeachment have already been introduced by House Democrats in 2025, including resolutions citing obstruction of justice, abuse of power, and foreign policy actions, though all were tabled under Republican control. Trump's April 2026 statements regarding Iran prompted over 70 Democratic lawmakers to publicly back impeachment or 25th Amendment proceedings. Traders price in a post-midterm House majority enabling swift action in 2027, tempered by Senate conviction thresholds and historical precedent for partisan but non-removing impeachments. Upcoming midterm results and any new legislative or diplomatic flashpoints remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
$65,781 Vol.
$65,781 Vol.
Sì
$65,781 Vol.
$65,781 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats currently hold no majority in the House, where any impeachment resolution must originate, but prediction markets reflect strong expectations of a Democratic takeover in the November 2026 midterms. Multiple articles of impeachment have already been introduced by House Democrats in 2025, including resolutions citing obstruction of justice, abuse of power, and foreign policy actions, though all were tabled under Republican control. Trump's April 2026 statements regarding Iran prompted over 70 Democratic lawmakers to publicly back impeachment or 25th Amendment proceedings. Traders price in a post-midterm House majority enabling swift action in 2027, tempered by Senate conviction thresholds and historical precedent for partisan but non-removing impeachments. Upcoming midterm results and any new legislative or diplomatic flashpoints remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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