The Commission of Fine Arts approved the design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin featuring President Trump's portrait—alongside a bald eagle reverse—for America's semiquincentennial on March 19, initially lifting trader optimism to around 42% for issuance by July 4. However, with no US Mint announcements on production start, minting progress, or release schedule a month later, traders now price "No" at 70.5%, reflecting historical timelines for commemorative gold coins that typically require 6-12 months for die preparation, striking, and distribution. Absent accelerated executive action from the Treasury Department, the tight 11-week window poses significant barriers, though a surprise fast-track could shift consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$12,004 Vol.
$12,004 Vol.
4 lug 2026
Sì
$12,004 Vol.
$12,004 Vol.
4 lug 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Commission of Fine Arts approved the design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin featuring President Trump's portrait—alongside a bald eagle reverse—for America's semiquincentennial on March 19, initially lifting trader optimism to around 42% for issuance by July 4. However, with no US Mint announcements on production start, minting progress, or release schedule a month later, traders now price "No" at 70.5%, reflecting historical timelines for commemorative gold coins that typically require 6-12 months for die preparation, striking, and distribution. Absent accelerated executive action from the Treasury Department, the tight 11-week window poses significant barriers, though a surprise fast-track could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Volume
$12,004Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Commission of Fine Arts approved the design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin featuring President Trump's portrait—alongside a bald eagle reverse—for America's semiquincentennial on March 19, initially lifting trader optimism to around 42% for issuance by July 4. However, with no US Mint announcements on production start, minting progress, or release schedule a month later, traders now price "No" at 70.5%, reflecting historical timelines for commemorative gold coins that typically require 6-12 months for die preparation, striking, and distribution. Absent accelerated executive action from the Treasury Department, the tight 11-week window poses significant barriers, though a surprise fast-track could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,004Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Commission of Fine Arts approved the design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin featuring President Trump's portrait—alongside a bald eagle reverse—for America's semiquincentennial on March 19, initially lifting trader optimism to around 42% for issuance by July 4. However, with no US Mint announcements on production start, minting progress, or release schedule a month later, traders now price "No" at 70.5%, reflecting historical timelines for commemorative gold coins that typically require 6-12 months for die preparation, striking, and distribution. Absent accelerated executive action from the Treasury Department, the tight 11-week window poses significant barriers, though a surprise fast-track could shift consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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