Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato65-89 100.0%
meno di 40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 Vol.
$1,758,532 Vol.
18 apr 2026
meno di 40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Sì
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
meno di 40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 Vol.
$1,758,532 Vol.
18 apr 2026
meno di 40
$219,309 Vol.
No
40-64
$227,964 Vol.
No
65-89
$299,100 Vol.
Sì
90-114
$368,062 Vol.
No
115-139
$267,777 Vol.
No
140-164
$139,452 Vol.
No
165-189
$68,265 Vol.
No
190-214
$77,479 Vol.
No
215-239
$35,132 Vol.
No
240+
$55,992 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,758,532Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,758,532Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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