H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a partisan vote and was received in the Senate the same day, but has seen no further action since, stalling its path to enactment. Traders' 86.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this year-long legislative impasse, driven by Democratic opposition viewing the measure as a barrier to registration despite Republican advocacy for election integrity. With no committee referral or floor vote scheduled amid the 119th Congress's midterm recess approaching, bipartisan support remains elusive, lowering odds of Senate passage, reconciliation, or presidential signature before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$151,953 Vol.
$151,953 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$151,953 Vol.
$151,953 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a partisan vote and was received in the Senate the same day, but has seen no further action since, stalling its path to enactment. Traders' 86.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this year-long legislative impasse, driven by Democratic opposition viewing the measure as a barrier to registration despite Republican advocacy for election integrity. With no committee referral or floor vote scheduled amid the 119th Congress's midterm recess approaching, bipartisan support remains elusive, lowering odds of Senate passage, reconciliation, or presidential signature before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$151,953Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a partisan vote and was received in the Senate the same day, but has seen no further action since, stalling its path to enactment. Traders' 86.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this year-long legislative impasse, driven by Democratic opposition viewing the measure as a barrier to registration despite Republican advocacy for election integrity. With no committee referral or floor vote scheduled amid the 119th Congress's midterm recess approaching, bipartisan support remains elusive, lowering odds of Senate passage, reconciliation, or presidential signature before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$151,953Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, by a partisan vote and was received in the Senate the same day, but has seen no further action since, stalling its path to enactment. Traders' 86.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this year-long legislative impasse, driven by Democratic opposition viewing the measure as a barrier to registration despite Republican advocacy for election integrity. With no committee referral or floor vote scheduled amid the 119th Congress's midterm recess approaching, bipartisan support remains elusive, lowering odds of Senate passage, reconciliation, or presidential signature before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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