Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 50.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) slightly ahead. April 2026 Léger and Pallas Data surveys indicate PLQ at 32-33%, PQ at 29-32%, CAQ at 13-14%, with models like 338Canada giving PQ a 92% chance of most seats and 51% for majority due to stronger regional support outside Montreal under first-past-the-post rules. The CAQ's support has collapsed to 9% odds following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid ongoing scandals. PLQ gains under new leader Charles Milliard since February have narrowed PQ's earlier lead, but traders see PQ's path to plurality clearest ahead of the October 5 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
Vincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
PQ 51%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$429,879 Vol.
$429,879 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
51%
PLQ
37%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 51%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$429,879 Vol.
$429,879 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
$41,799 Vol.
51%
PLQ
$47,646 Vol.
37%
CAQ
$42,762 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$144,126 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$105,358 Vol.
<1%
QS
$48,187 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 50.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) slightly ahead. April 2026 Léger and Pallas Data surveys indicate PLQ at 32-33%, PQ at 29-32%, CAQ at 13-14%, with models like 338Canada giving PQ a 92% chance of most seats and 51% for majority due to stronger regional support outside Montreal under first-past-the-post rules. The CAQ's support has collapsed to 9% odds following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid ongoing scandals. PLQ gains under new leader Charles Milliard since February have narrowed PQ's earlier lead, but traders see PQ's path to plurality clearest ahead of the October 5 deadline.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$429,879Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 50.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) slightly ahead. April 2026 Léger and Pallas Data surveys indicate PLQ at 32-33%, PQ at 29-32%, CAQ at 13-14%, with models like 338Canada giving PQ a 92% chance of most seats and 51% for majority due to stronger regional support outside Montreal under first-past-the-post rules. The CAQ's support has collapsed to 9% odds following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid ongoing scandals. PLQ gains under new leader Charles Milliard since February have narrowed PQ's earlier lead, but traders see PQ's path to plurality clearest ahead of the October 5 deadline.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$429,879Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 50.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting seat projections despite recent polls showing a tight popular vote race with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) slightly ahead. April 2026 Léger and Pallas Data surveys indicate PLQ at 32-33%, PQ at 29-32%, CAQ at 13-14%, with models like 338Canada giving PQ a 92% chance of most seats and 51% for majority due to stronger regional support outside Montreal under first-past-the-post rules. The CAQ's support has collapsed to 9% odds following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid ongoing scandals. PLQ gains under new leader Charles Milliard since February have narrowed PQ's earlier lead, but traders see PQ's path to plurality clearest ahead of the October 5 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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