Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points in the mid-teens to low twenties, leaving no party with a consistent edge for second place behind the likely leading CDU. This fragmentation, driven by shifting voter preferences and the CDU-SPD coalition’s mixed record, has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among the top contenders. Trader consensus prices reflect the narrow spreads in polling averages, with limited separation expected absent major late-campaign developments such as turnout surges among specific demographics or decisive campaign events. The September 20 vote, including first-time participation by 16-year-olds under updated rules, will determine final seat rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCDU 37%
AfD 29%
Linke 23%
Grüne 10%
$27,288 Vol.
$27,288 Vol.
20 set 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
29%
Linke
23%
Grüne
10%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 29%
Linke 23%
Grüne 10%
$27,288 Vol.
$27,288 Vol.
20 set 2026
CDU
$3,382 Vol.
37%
AfD
$6,704 Vol.
29%
Linke
$5,964 Vol.
23%
Grüne
$5,603 Vol.
10%
SPD
$3,526 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points in the mid-teens to low twenties, leaving no party with a consistent edge for second place behind the likely leading CDU. This fragmentation, driven by shifting voter preferences and the CDU-SPD coalition’s mixed record, has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among the top contenders. Trader consensus prices reflect the narrow spreads in polling averages, with limited separation expected absent major late-campaign developments such as turnout surges among specific demographics or decisive campaign events. The September 20 vote, including first-time participation by 16-year-olds under updated rules, will determine final seat rankings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$27,288Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points in the mid-teens to low twenties, leaving no party with a consistent edge for second place behind the likely leading CDU. This fragmentation, driven by shifting voter preferences and the CDU-SPD coalition’s mixed record, has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among the top contenders. Trader consensus prices reflect the narrow spreads in polling averages, with limited separation expected absent major late-campaign developments such as turnout surges among specific demographics or decisive campaign events. The September 20 vote, including first-time participation by 16-year-olds under updated rules, will determine final seat rankings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$27,288Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points in the mid-teens to low twenties, leaving no party with a consistent edge for second place behind the likely leading CDU. This fragmentation, driven by shifting voter preferences and the CDU-SPD coalition’s mixed record, has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among the top contenders. Trader consensus prices reflect the narrow spreads in polling averages, with limited separation expected absent major late-campaign developments such as turnout surges among specific demographics or decisive campaign events. The September 20 vote, including first-time participation by 16-year-olds under updated rules, will determine final seat rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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