With over 93% of votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, Keiko Fujimori of Fuerza Popular holds a commanding lead at around 17%, securing trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability for first-place finish amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Her edge stems from strong conservative support in key regions, name recognition from prior runs, and exit polls aligning with official tallies from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), despite slow counting and unsubstantiated fraud claims from rivals. No candidate reached 50%, setting a June 7 runoff; Fujimori's position could only shift via verified irregularities in remaining rural ballots or a full recount by the National Jury of Elections (JNE).
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKeiko Fujimori 98.8%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$2,206,767 Vol.
$2,206,767 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Keiko Fujimori
99%
Jorge Nieto
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 98.8%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$2,206,767 Vol.
$2,206,767 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Keiko Fujimori
$744,444 Vol.
99%
Jorge Nieto
$163,432 Vol.
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
$342,600 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$198,915 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$22,173 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$19,534 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$38,342 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$24,870 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$17,813 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$19,300 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$17,364 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$24,380 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$32,060 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$14,989 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$21,756 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$11,827 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$14,040 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$156,048 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$102,740 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$8,660 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$6,782 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$195,926 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$9,185 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 93% of votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, Keiko Fujimori of Fuerza Popular holds a commanding lead at around 17%, securing trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability for first-place finish amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Her edge stems from strong conservative support in key regions, name recognition from prior runs, and exit polls aligning with official tallies from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), despite slow counting and unsubstantiated fraud claims from rivals. No candidate reached 50%, setting a June 7 runoff; Fujimori's position could only shift via verified irregularities in remaining rural ballots or a full recount by the National Jury of Elections (JNE).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,206,767Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 93% of votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, Keiko Fujimori of Fuerza Popular holds a commanding lead at around 17%, securing trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability for first-place finish amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Her edge stems from strong conservative support in key regions, name recognition from prior runs, and exit polls aligning with official tallies from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), despite slow counting and unsubstantiated fraud claims from rivals. No candidate reached 50%, setting a June 7 runoff; Fujimori's position could only shift via verified irregularities in remaining rural ballots or a full recount by the National Jury of Elections (JNE).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,206,767Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 93% of votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 general election first round, Keiko Fujimori of Fuerza Popular holds a commanding lead at around 17%, securing trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability for first-place finish amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Her edge stems from strong conservative support in key regions, name recognition from prior runs, and exit polls aligning with official tallies from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), despite slow counting and unsubstantiated fraud claims from rivals. No candidate reached 50%, setting a June 7 runoff; Fujimori's position could only shift via verified irregularities in remaining rural ballots or a full recount by the National Jury of Elections (JNE).
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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