Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, features a competitive Republican primary on June 16 where Kevin Hern holds double-digit leads in recent polling against other contenders. Democratic primary candidates remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins in federal elections. Late developments such as a unified Democratic challenge or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic shifts before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
92%
Democratico
7%
$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$8,923 Vol.
92%
Democratico
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, features a competitive Republican primary on June 16 where Kevin Hern holds double-digit leads in recent polling against other contenders. Democratic primary candidates remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins in federal elections. Late developments such as a unified Democratic challenge or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic shifts before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,591Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, features a competitive Republican primary on June 16 where Kevin Hern holds double-digit leads in recent polling against other contenders. Democratic primary candidates remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins in federal elections. Late developments such as a unified Democratic challenge or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic shifts before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,591Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and partisan voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. The open seat, following Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration, features a competitive Republican primary on June 16 where Kevin Hern holds double-digit leads in recent polling against other contenders. Democratic primary candidates remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins in federal elections. Late developments such as a unified Democratic challenge or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic shifts before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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