Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in a tight contest among low bins—0.5-1.0% at 35%, 0.0-0.5% at 32.7%, and 1.0-1.5% at 27.5%—reflecting mixed leading indicators after a weak January IGAE contraction of 0.9% month-on-month, partially offset by robust January retail sales up 5.0% year-on-year and a February manufacturing rebound amid 0.4% industrial production growth. Persistent manufacturing PMI contraction at 48.9 in March signals caution, while resilient remittances and U.S. demand provide upside. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster at 1.6-1.8% per IMF and BBVA, implying modest quarterly expansion; key catalyst is INEGI's timely Q1 estimate due late April.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.0-1.5% 35%
<0.0% 10.9%
2.0-2.5% 8.8%
1.5-2.0% 6.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 apr 2026
<0.0%
19%
0.0-0.5%
46%
0.5-1.0%
36%
1.0-1.5%
22%
1.5-2.0%
7%
2.0-2.5%
9%
>2.5%
4%
1.0-1.5% 35%
<0.0% 10.9%
2.0-2.5% 8.8%
1.5-2.0% 6.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 apr 2026
<0.0%
$431 Vol.
19%
0.0-0.5%
$348 Vol.
46%
0.5-1.0%
$567 Vol.
36%
1.0-1.5%
$720 Vol.
22%
1.5-2.0%
$408 Vol.
7%
2.0-2.5%
$139 Vol.
9%
>2.5%
$147 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in a tight contest among low bins—0.5-1.0% at 35%, 0.0-0.5% at 32.7%, and 1.0-1.5% at 27.5%—reflecting mixed leading indicators after a weak January IGAE contraction of 0.9% month-on-month, partially offset by robust January retail sales up 5.0% year-on-year and a February manufacturing rebound amid 0.4% industrial production growth. Persistent manufacturing PMI contraction at 48.9 in March signals caution, while resilient remittances and U.S. demand provide upside. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster at 1.6-1.8% per IMF and BBVA, implying modest quarterly expansion; key catalyst is INEGI's timely Q1 estimate due late April.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,759Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in a tight contest among low bins—0.5-1.0% at 35%, 0.0-0.5% at 32.7%, and 1.0-1.5% at 27.5%—reflecting mixed leading indicators after a weak January IGAE contraction of 0.9% month-on-month, partially offset by robust January retail sales up 5.0% year-on-year and a February manufacturing rebound amid 0.4% industrial production growth. Persistent manufacturing PMI contraction at 48.9 in March signals caution, while resilient remittances and U.S. demand provide upside. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster at 1.6-1.8% per IMF and BBVA, implying modest quarterly expansion; key catalyst is INEGI's timely Q1 estimate due late April.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,759Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in a tight contest among low bins—0.5-1.0% at 35%, 0.0-0.5% at 32.7%, and 1.0-1.5% at 27.5%—reflecting mixed leading indicators after a weak January IGAE contraction of 0.9% month-on-month, partially offset by robust January retail sales up 5.0% year-on-year and a February manufacturing rebound amid 0.4% industrial production growth. Persistent manufacturing PMI contraction at 48.9 in March signals caution, while resilient remittances and U.S. demand provide upside. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster at 1.6-1.8% per IMF and BBVA, implying modest quarterly expansion; key catalyst is INEGI's timely Q1 estimate due late April.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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