Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$15,973 Vol.
$15,973 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$15,973 Vol.
$15,973 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,538 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,436 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$15,973Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,973Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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