Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise anchors trader expectations in Louisiana's 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Scalise's 66.8 percent share in 2024, combine with his long tenure and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. A closed partisan primary system now structures the race, with Scalise facing limited intra-party opposition from Randall Arrington. These structural advantages sustain the 90.5 percent Republican consensus. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera LA-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera LA-01
$37,603 Vol.
$37,603 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
91%
Partito Democratico
9%
$37,603 Vol.
$37,603 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$16,105 Vol.
91%
Partito Democratico
$21,498 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise anchors trader expectations in Louisiana's 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Scalise's 66.8 percent share in 2024, combine with his long tenure and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. A closed partisan primary system now structures the race, with Scalise facing limited intra-party opposition from Randall Arrington. These structural advantages sustain the 90.5 percent Republican consensus. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,603Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise anchors trader expectations in Louisiana's 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Scalise's 66.8 percent share in 2024, combine with his long tenure and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. A closed partisan primary system now structures the race, with Scalise facing limited intra-party opposition from Randall Arrington. These structural advantages sustain the 90.5 percent Republican consensus. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,603Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise anchors trader expectations in Louisiana's 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in Scalise's 66.8 percent share in 2024, combine with his long tenure and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. A closed partisan primary system now structures the race, with Scalise facing limited intra-party opposition from Randall Arrington. These structural advantages sustain the 90.5 percent Republican consensus. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti