With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% implied probability for Yes, reflecting intense bipartisan pressure from intelligence officials and President Trump urging a clean extension amid claims it thwarted recent threats like a 2024 concert attack. A recent Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court ruling temporarily extended operations to March 2027 but highlighted ongoing compliance issues, fueling privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements on backdoor searches of Americans' data. The balance hinges on narrow Republican majorities in a Republican-controlled Congress, vulnerable to libertarian defections like those from Reps. Massie and Biggs; an imminent House floor vote without amendments could surge Yes odds, while reform victories or procedural delays tip toward No ahead of Senate consideration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$17,500 Vol.
$17,500 Vol.
19 apr 2026
$17,500 Vol.
$17,500 Vol.
19 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% implied probability for Yes, reflecting intense bipartisan pressure from intelligence officials and President Trump urging a clean extension amid claims it thwarted recent threats like a 2024 concert attack. A recent Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court ruling temporarily extended operations to March 2027 but highlighted ongoing compliance issues, fueling privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements on backdoor searches of Americans' data. The balance hinges on narrow Republican majorities in a Republican-controlled Congress, vulnerable to libertarian defections like those from Reps. Massie and Biggs; an imminent House floor vote without amendments could surge Yes odds, while reform victories or procedural delays tip toward No ahead of Senate consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$17,500Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% implied probability for Yes, reflecting intense bipartisan pressure from intelligence officials and President Trump urging a clean extension amid claims it thwarted recent threats like a 2024 concert attack. A recent Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court ruling temporarily extended operations to March 2027 but highlighted ongoing compliance issues, fueling privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements on backdoor searches of Americans' data. The balance hinges on narrow Republican majorities in a Republican-controlled Congress, vulnerable to libertarian defections like those from Reps. Massie and Biggs; an imminent House floor vote without amendments could surge Yes odds, while reform victories or procedural delays tip toward No ahead of Senate consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,500Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% implied probability for Yes, reflecting intense bipartisan pressure from intelligence officials and President Trump urging a clean extension amid claims it thwarted recent threats like a 2024 concert attack. A recent Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court ruling temporarily extended operations to March 2027 but highlighted ongoing compliance issues, fueling privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements on backdoor searches of Americans' data. The balance hinges on narrow Republican majorities in a Republican-controlled Congress, vulnerable to libertarian defections like those from Reps. Massie and Biggs; an imminent House floor vote without amendments could surge Yes odds, while reform victories or procedural delays tip toward No ahead of Senate consideration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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