Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's second term, secured in the 2023 election, extends until the next presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election called amid his Justice and Development Party's institutional control and opposition disunity following local defeats. Trader consensus at 89.5% "No" reflects the absence of verified catalysts for early exit, such as official resignation announcements or constitutional challenges, despite unconfirmed health rumors in February 2026 and March speculation on post-2028 succession. Recent polls previewing 2028 matchups, like İmamoğlu versus Erdoğan, underscore focus on full-term stability rather than premature departure, though sudden health events or elite pressures could shift odds before year-end.