Erdoğan's current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional schedule, with the next national election set no later than May of that year. The ruling AKP has repeatedly ruled out snap polls in 2026, citing insufficient parliamentary support for advancing the date, while official statements affirm the president's continued tenure. Recent May 2026 appeals court rulings annulling the main opposition CHP leadership election have further weakened organized resistance ahead of any future contest. These institutional and procedural factors, combined with the absence of scheduled removal mechanisms or confirmed health or succession events before year-end 2026, underpin trader consensus on the low probability of an early exit.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoErdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Erdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$436,643 Vol.
$436,643 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$436,643 Vol.
$436,643 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional schedule, with the next national election set no later than May of that year. The ruling AKP has repeatedly ruled out snap polls in 2026, citing insufficient parliamentary support for advancing the date, while official statements affirm the president's continued tenure. Recent May 2026 appeals court rulings annulling the main opposition CHP leadership election have further weakened organized resistance ahead of any future contest. These institutional and procedural factors, combined with the absence of scheduled removal mechanisms or confirmed health or succession events before year-end 2026, underpin trader consensus on the low probability of an early exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$436,643Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional schedule, with the next national election set no later than May of that year. The ruling AKP has repeatedly ruled out snap polls in 2026, citing insufficient parliamentary support for advancing the date, while official statements affirm the president's continued tenure. Recent May 2026 appeals court rulings annulling the main opposition CHP leadership election have further weakened organized resistance ahead of any future contest. These institutional and procedural factors, combined with the absence of scheduled removal mechanisms or confirmed health or succession events before year-end 2026, underpin trader consensus on the low probability of an early exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$436,643Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional schedule, with the next national election set no later than May of that year. The ruling AKP has repeatedly ruled out snap polls in 2026, citing insufficient parliamentary support for advancing the date, while official statements affirm the president's continued tenure. Recent May 2026 appeals court rulings annulling the main opposition CHP leadership election have further weakened organized resistance ahead of any future contest. These institutional and procedural factors, combined with the absence of scheduled removal mechanisms or confirmed health or succession events before year-end 2026, underpin trader consensus on the low probability of an early exit.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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