Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's secure constitutional term until May 2028 underpins the strong trader consensus against his departure by year-end, with no snap presidential election feasible absent a parliamentary supermajority of 360 votes that his AKP-led coalition falls short of. Recent months have seen intensified elite discussions on post-2028 succession, including elevation of figures like Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, amid unverified health rumors at age 71, but no official announcements, resignations, or destabilizing events like no-confidence votes or major scandals have emerged since March. Opposition remains fragmented following 2024 local gains, while AKP bolstered parliamentary seats via defections in January, reinforcing stability absent late-breaking crises such as health emergencies or geopolitical shocks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoErdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Erdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's secure constitutional term until May 2028 underpins the strong trader consensus against his departure by year-end, with no snap presidential election feasible absent a parliamentary supermajority of 360 votes that his AKP-led coalition falls short of. Recent months have seen intensified elite discussions on post-2028 succession, including elevation of figures like Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, amid unverified health rumors at age 71, but no official announcements, resignations, or destabilizing events like no-confidence votes or major scandals have emerged since March. Opposition remains fragmented following 2024 local gains, while AKP bolstered parliamentary seats via defections in January, reinforcing stability absent late-breaking crises such as health emergencies or geopolitical shocks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's secure constitutional term until May 2028 underpins the strong trader consensus against his departure by year-end, with no snap presidential election feasible absent a parliamentary supermajority of 360 votes that his AKP-led coalition falls short of. Recent months have seen intensified elite discussions on post-2028 succession, including elevation of figures like Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, amid unverified health rumors at age 71, but no official announcements, resignations, or destabilizing events like no-confidence votes or major scandals have emerged since March. Opposition remains fragmented following 2024 local gains, while AKP bolstered parliamentary seats via defections in January, reinforcing stability absent late-breaking crises such as health emergencies or geopolitical shocks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's secure constitutional term until May 2028 underpins the strong trader consensus against his departure by year-end, with no snap presidential election feasible absent a parliamentary supermajority of 360 votes that his AKP-led coalition falls short of. Recent months have seen intensified elite discussions on post-2028 succession, including elevation of figures like Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, amid unverified health rumors at age 71, but no official announcements, resignations, or destabilizing events like no-confidence votes or major scandals have emerged since March. Opposition remains fragmented following 2024 local gains, while AKP bolstered parliamentary seats via defections in January, reinforcing stability absent late-breaking crises such as health emergencies or geopolitical shocks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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