Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India’s prime minister following his 2024 re-election, with his current term scheduled to run until mid-2029 absent an early dissolution of the Lok Sabha. As of mid-June 2026 he marked a record as the longest continuously serving elected prime minister, underscoring institutional continuity and the absence of any announced plans for resignation or leadership transition. Recent public appearances and policy initiatives, including trade negotiations and domestic governance milestones, reinforce his active role at the head of the NDA coalition. While analysts have begun discussing potential successors ahead of the next general election cycle, no credible signals point to an exit before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% probability for “No” aligns with these structural term timelines and the lack of immediate political catalysts for change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoModi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$110,937 Vol.
$110,937 Vol.
Sì
$110,937 Vol.
$110,937 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India’s prime minister following his 2024 re-election, with his current term scheduled to run until mid-2029 absent an early dissolution of the Lok Sabha. As of mid-June 2026 he marked a record as the longest continuously serving elected prime minister, underscoring institutional continuity and the absence of any announced plans for resignation or leadership transition. Recent public appearances and policy initiatives, including trade negotiations and domestic governance milestones, reinforce his active role at the head of the NDA coalition. While analysts have begun discussing potential successors ahead of the next general election cycle, no credible signals point to an exit before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% probability for “No” aligns with these structural term timelines and the lack of immediate political catalysts for change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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