Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government as prime minister with no scheduled elections, coalition fractures, or institutional mechanisms that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. His BJP-led NDA maintains parliamentary control following the 2024 mandate, and recent diplomacy—including hosting the BRICS summit and bilateral engagements with leaders such as Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin—underscores his active role in foreign policy. Earlier 2026 protests over exam irregularities prompted limited cabinet adjustments but produced no sustained challenge to Modi's position. Polling continues to identify him as the leading preference for the premiership, while his term extends through 2029. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability against removal in the remaining months of the year, reflecting the absence of credible near-term political catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoModi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
7% probabilità
$251,126 Vol.
$251,126 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$251,126 Vol.
$251,126 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government as prime minister with no scheduled elections, coalition fractures, or institutional mechanisms that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. His BJP-led NDA maintains parliamentary control following the 2024 mandate, and recent diplomacy—including hosting the BRICS summit and bilateral engagements with leaders such as Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin—underscores his active role in foreign policy. Earlier 2026 protests over exam irregularities prompted limited cabinet adjustments but produced no sustained challenge to Modi's position. Polling continues to identify him as the leading preference for the premiership, while his term extends through 2029. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability against removal in the remaining months of the year, reflecting the absence of credible near-term political catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$251,126Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government as prime minister with no scheduled elections, coalition fractures, or institutional mechanisms that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. His BJP-led NDA maintains parliamentary control following the 2024 mandate, and recent diplomacy—including hosting the BRICS summit and bilateral engagements with leaders such as Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin—underscores his active role in foreign policy. Earlier 2026 protests over exam irregularities prompted limited cabinet adjustments but produced no sustained challenge to Modi's position. Polling continues to identify him as the leading preference for the premiership, while his term extends through 2029. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability against removal in the remaining months of the year, reflecting the absence of credible near-term political catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$251,126Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government as prime minister with no scheduled elections, coalition fractures, or institutional mechanisms that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. His BJP-led NDA maintains parliamentary control following the 2024 mandate, and recent diplomacy—including hosting the BRICS summit and bilateral engagements with leaders such as Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin—underscores his active role in foreign policy. Earlier 2026 protests over exam irregularities prompted limited cabinet adjustments but produced no sustained challenge to Modi's position. Polling continues to identify him as the leading preference for the premiership, while his term extends through 2029. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability against removal in the remaining months of the year, reflecting the absence of credible near-term political catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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