Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government remains firmly stable midway through its 2024-2029 term, with no snap elections, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures on the horizon, anchoring trader consensus at 90.1% against his departure by year-end. Recent BJP sweeps in West Bengal assembly elections—ousting TMC—and a third term in Assam have bolstered Modi's national stature, countering opposition critiques like Karnataka CM Siddaramaiah's February calls for resignation over a US trade framework. Persistent retirement rumors tied to RSS age norms have been dismissed by BJP leaders affirming his leadership beyond 2029, amid no verified health concerns or institutional pressures. Only major scandals, health events, or parliamentary upheavals could shift odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoModi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$27,305 Vol.
$27,305 Vol.
Sì
$27,305 Vol.
$27,305 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government remains firmly stable midway through its 2024-2029 term, with no snap elections, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures on the horizon, anchoring trader consensus at 90.1% against his departure by year-end. Recent BJP sweeps in West Bengal assembly elections—ousting TMC—and a third term in Assam have bolstered Modi's national stature, countering opposition critiques like Karnataka CM Siddaramaiah's February calls for resignation over a US trade framework. Persistent retirement rumors tied to RSS age norms have been dismissed by BJP leaders affirming his leadership beyond 2029, amid no verified health concerns or institutional pressures. Only major scandals, health events, or parliamentary upheavals could shift odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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