Incumbent BJP's commanding 95.5% trader consensus in the Assam Legislative Assembly election stems from pre-poll opinion surveys like IANS-Matrize projecting NDA 96-98 seats and Chanakya 83-90 in the 126-seat house—well above the 64-seat majority—bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval on development and border security. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9, highest in BJP strongholds, signals robust support amid fragmented opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha led by INC. With counting set for May 4, unlikely shifts could arise from opposition surges in Muslim-dominated seats, recounts, or alliance realignments, though polls' historical accuracy tempers such risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa di Assam
Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa di Assam
BJP 95.5%
INC 2.7%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$61,269 Vol.
$61,269 Vol.
20 mag 2026
BJP
96%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 95.5%
INC 2.7%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$61,269 Vol.
$61,269 Vol.
20 mag 2026
BJP
$11,814 Vol.
96%
INC
$7,409 Vol.
3%
AITC
$4,519 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,847 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$4,222 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$4,933 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$4,474 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$9,171 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$5,221 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$4,659 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent BJP's commanding 95.5% trader consensus in the Assam Legislative Assembly election stems from pre-poll opinion surveys like IANS-Matrize projecting NDA 96-98 seats and Chanakya 83-90 in the 126-seat house—well above the 64-seat majority—bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval on development and border security. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9, highest in BJP strongholds, signals robust support amid fragmented opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha led by INC. With counting set for May 4, unlikely shifts could arise from opposition surges in Muslim-dominated seats, recounts, or alliance realignments, though polls' historical accuracy tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$61,269Data di fine
9 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent BJP's commanding 95.5% trader consensus in the Assam Legislative Assembly election stems from pre-poll opinion surveys like IANS-Matrize projecting NDA 96-98 seats and Chanakya 83-90 in the 126-seat house—well above the 64-seat majority—bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval on development and border security. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9, highest in BJP strongholds, signals robust support amid fragmented opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha led by INC. With counting set for May 4, unlikely shifts could arise from opposition surges in Muslim-dominated seats, recounts, or alliance realignments, though polls' historical accuracy tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$61,269Data di fine
9 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent BJP's commanding 95.5% trader consensus in the Assam Legislative Assembly election stems from pre-poll opinion surveys like IANS-Matrize projecting NDA 96-98 seats and Chanakya 83-90 in the 126-seat house—well above the 64-seat majority—bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval on development and border security. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9, highest in BJP strongholds, signals robust support amid fragmented opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha led by INC. With counting set for May 4, unlikely shifts could arise from opposition surges in Muslim-dominated seats, recounts, or alliance realignments, though polls' historical accuracy tempers such risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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