The MS-02 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Bennie Thompson's 62% victory in 2024, underpins the 82.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the Democratic primary with 86% in March 2026, while Ron Eller narrowly won the Republican primary to advance to the November general election. These outcomes align with the district's consistent partisan patterns across the Mississippi Delta and Jackson areas, where Democratic candidates have held the seat for decades. No major developments have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving structural factors and incumbency as the primary drivers of current probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$23,259 Vol.
$23,259 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
18%
$23,259 Vol.
$23,259 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,322 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$10,937 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The MS-02 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Bennie Thompson's 62% victory in 2024, underpins the 82.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the Democratic primary with 86% in March 2026, while Ron Eller narrowly won the Republican primary to advance to the November general election. These outcomes align with the district's consistent partisan patterns across the Mississippi Delta and Jackson areas, where Democratic candidates have held the seat for decades. No major developments have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving structural factors and incumbency as the primary drivers of current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,259Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The MS-02 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Bennie Thompson's 62% victory in 2024, underpins the 82.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the Democratic primary with 86% in March 2026, while Ron Eller narrowly won the Republican primary to advance to the November general election. These outcomes align with the district's consistent partisan patterns across the Mississippi Delta and Jackson areas, where Democratic candidates have held the seat for decades. No major developments have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving structural factors and incumbency as the primary drivers of current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,259Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The MS-02 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Bennie Thompson's 62% victory in 2024, underpins the 82.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the Democratic primary with 86% in March 2026, while Ron Eller narrowly won the Republican primary to advance to the November general election. These outcomes align with the district's consistent partisan patterns across the Mississippi Delta and Jackson areas, where Democratic candidates have held the seat for decades. No major developments have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving structural factors and incumbency as the primary drivers of current probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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