Recent polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena holding a wide lead for first place, leaving the race for second tightly contested among PAN, PT, PVEM, MC, and PRI. Coalition frictions during 2026 electoral reform debates, including the initial rejection of President Sheinbaum’s proposal and passage of a revised package, have underscored potential shifts in alliance dynamics and voter alignments. Opposition parties continue positioning themselves to capitalize on any erosion in ruling-coalition support, while PT and PVEM performance hinges on their ongoing partnership with Morena. These factors sustain clustered trader probabilities, with outcomes sensitive to future polling trends, candidate selections, and coalition stability before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PVEM 41%
PT 41%
PRI 38%
MC 34%

PAN
49%

PRI
38%

PT
41%

PVEM
41%

MC
34%

Morena
9%
PVEM 41%
PT 41%
PRI 38%
MC 34%

PAN
49%

PRI
38%

PT
41%

PVEM
41%

MC
34%

Morena
9%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Pasar Dibuka: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena holding a wide lead for first place, leaving the race for second tightly contested among PAN, PT, PVEM, MC, and PRI. Coalition frictions during 2026 electoral reform debates, including the initial rejection of President Sheinbaum’s proposal and passage of a revised package, have underscored potential shifts in alliance dynamics and voter alignments. Opposition parties continue positioning themselves to capitalize on any erosion in ruling-coalition support, while PT and PVEM performance hinges on their ongoing partnership with Morena. These factors sustain clustered trader probabilities, with outcomes sensitive to future polling trends, candidate selections, and coalition stability before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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