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PolitikΒ·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
PolitikΒ·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy BurnhamΒ 74%

Robert KenyonΒ 25%

Rebecca ShepherdΒ 2.6%

Simon FinkelsteinΒ <1%

Polymarket

$2,101,217 Vol.

Andy BurnhamΒ 74%

Robert KenyonΒ 25%

Rebecca ShepherdΒ 2.6%

Simon FinkelsteinΒ <1%

Polymarket

$2,101,217 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$199,279 Vol.

74%

Robert Kenyon

$134,800 Vol.

25%

Rebecca Shepherd

$1,746,190 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,702 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 73.5 percent as the Labour candidate, reflecting his established regional profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's decision to fast-track his selection after Josh Simons resigned the seat in mid-May to enable a parliamentary route for leadership ambitions. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon trails at 24.5 percent amid the party's recent local election gains in the constituency and national polling strength, though Burnham's personal vote and the short campaign window favor the frontrunner in trader assessments. Other candidates remain at minimal levels consistent with limited visibility. The June 18 vote remains the key upcoming event that could shift probabilities if turnout patterns or late developments alter the current positioning.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$2,101,217
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 73.5 percent as the Labour candidate, reflecting his established regional profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's decision to fast-track his selection after Josh Simons resigned the seat in mid-May to enable a parliamentary route for leadership ambitions. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon trails at 24.5 percent amid the party's recent local election gains in the constituency and national polling strength, though Burnham's personal vote and the short campaign window favor the frontrunner in trader assessments. Other candidates remain at minimal levels consistent with limited visibility. The June 18 vote remains the key upcoming event that could shift probabilities if turnout patterns or late developments alter the current positioning.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$2,101,217
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Makerfield by-election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Andy Burnham" di 74%, diikuti oleh "Robert Kenyon" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 74Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Makerfield by-election Winner" telah menghasilkan $2.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 14, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Makerfield by-election Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Makerfield by-election Winner" adalah "Andy Burnham" di 74%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Robert Kenyon" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Makerfield by-election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.