Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for a sixth term extending to 2030, secured by 2020 amendments and confirmed by his March 2024 reelection, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Centralized authority over security services and regional elites, reinforced by routine public engagements, Security Council meetings, and diplomatic activity such as the May 2026 summit with China’s Xi Jinping, has produced no visible successor or elite-driven transition signals. Ongoing military operations in Ukraine and recent legislative preparations for September 2026 Duma elections have not generated internal shocks capable of forcing removal. While health events, major battlefield reversals, or sudden elite fractures could still alter the timeline, the absence of such catalysts sustains the 90.5% implied probability on the “No” outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPutin keluar sebagai Presiden Rusia pada 31 Desember 2026?
Putin keluar sebagai Presiden Rusia pada 31 Desember 2026?
Ya
$6,499,138 Vol.
$6,499,138 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dapatkan 4%
Ya
$6,499,138 Vol.
$6,499,138 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dapatkan 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for a sixth term extending to 2030, secured by 2020 amendments and confirmed by his March 2024 reelection, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Centralized authority over security services and regional elites, reinforced by routine public engagements, Security Council meetings, and diplomatic activity such as the May 2026 summit with China’s Xi Jinping, has produced no visible successor or elite-driven transition signals. Ongoing military operations in Ukraine and recent legislative preparations for September 2026 Duma elections have not generated internal shocks capable of forcing removal. While health events, major battlefield reversals, or sudden elite fractures could still alter the timeline, the absence of such catalysts sustains the 90.5% implied probability on the “No” outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$6,499,138Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for a sixth term extending to 2030, secured by 2020 amendments and confirmed by his March 2024 reelection, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Centralized authority over security services and regional elites, reinforced by routine public engagements, Security Council meetings, and diplomatic activity such as the May 2026 summit with China’s Xi Jinping, has produced no visible successor or elite-driven transition signals. Ongoing military operations in Ukraine and recent legislative preparations for September 2026 Duma elections have not generated internal shocks capable of forcing removal. While health events, major battlefield reversals, or sudden elite fractures could still alter the timeline, the absence of such catalysts sustains the 90.5% implied probability on the “No” outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,499,168Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for a sixth term extending to 2030, secured by 2020 amendments and confirmed by his March 2024 reelection, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Centralized authority over security services and regional elites, reinforced by routine public engagements, Security Council meetings, and diplomatic activity such as the May 2026 summit with China’s Xi Jinping, has produced no visible successor or elite-driven transition signals. Ongoing military operations in Ukraine and recent legislative preparations for September 2026 Duma elections have not generated internal shocks capable of forcing removal. While health events, major battlefield reversals, or sudden elite fractures could still alter the timeline, the absence of such catalysts sustains the 90.5% implied probability on the “No” outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan