Persistent impasse over Ukraine peace terms, following the collapse of the 2025 Anchorage framework and stalled envoy talks, underpins the 72.5% trader consensus on no bilateral meeting by year-end. Multiple 2026 phone calls between the leaders produced no announced dates or venues, while July remarks from both sides confirmed the need for fresh ideas. Recent U.S. Senate passage of energy sanctions legislation targeting Russian revenues has added pressure without prompting a summit breakthrough. China leads alternative venues at 19.5% amid deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination, whereas U.S. or multilateral options such as the planned December G20 remain low-probability due to unresolved core disputes and procedural hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 73%
China 20%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.7%
$339,491 Vol.
$339,491 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
73%

China
20%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 73%
China 20%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.7%
$339,491 Vol.
$339,491 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
73%

China
20%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent impasse over Ukraine peace terms, following the collapse of the 2025 Anchorage framework and stalled envoy talks, underpins the 72.5% trader consensus on no bilateral meeting by year-end. Multiple 2026 phone calls between the leaders produced no announced dates or venues, while July remarks from both sides confirmed the need for fresh ideas. Recent U.S. Senate passage of energy sanctions legislation targeting Russian revenues has added pressure without prompting a summit breakthrough. China leads alternative venues at 19.5% amid deepening Moscow-Beijing coordination, whereas U.S. or multilateral options such as the planned December G20 remain low-probability due to unresolved core disputes and procedural hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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