Several by-elections have already occurred in 2026, including Gorton and Denton in February and three seats in June linked to the Scottish Parliament elections and a Labour MP resignation that enabled Andy Burnham’s candidacy. An additional contest in Clacton is scheduled for mid-August. Trader consensus around six total by-elections reflects these confirmed vacancies plus a modest number of further triggers expected from ongoing Labour internal pressures following Keir Starmer’s June resignation, occasional MP departures for health or other reasons, and typical annual attrition rates. Markets price ≤5 or 7 outcomes as plausible depending on whether additional writs are moved before year-end, while higher totals would require sustained political instability or multiple unexpected vacancies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
6 40%
≤5 21%
7 16%
8 11%
$21,311 Vol.
$21,311 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
≤5
21%
6
40%
7
16%
8
11%
9
10%
10+
8%
6 40%
≤5 21%
7 16%
8 11%
$21,311 Vol.
$21,311 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
≤5
$4,980 Vol.
21%
6
$9,384 Vol.
40%
7
$2,508 Vol.
16%
8
$2,611 Vol.
11%
9
$806 Vol.
10%
10+
$1,022 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Several by-elections have already occurred in 2026, including Gorton and Denton in February and three seats in June linked to the Scottish Parliament elections and a Labour MP resignation that enabled Andy Burnham’s candidacy. An additional contest in Clacton is scheduled for mid-August. Trader consensus around six total by-elections reflects these confirmed vacancies plus a modest number of further triggers expected from ongoing Labour internal pressures following Keir Starmer’s June resignation, occasional MP departures for health or other reasons, and typical annual attrition rates. Markets price ≤5 or 7 outcomes as plausible depending on whether additional writs are moved before year-end, while higher totals would require sustained political instability or multiple unexpected vacancies.
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 8, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$21,311Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Several by-elections have already occurred in 2026, including Gorton and Denton in February and three seats in June linked to the Scottish Parliament elections and a Labour MP resignation that enabled Andy Burnham’s candidacy. An additional contest in Clacton is scheduled for mid-August. Trader consensus around six total by-elections reflects these confirmed vacancies plus a modest number of further triggers expected from ongoing Labour internal pressures following Keir Starmer’s June resignation, occasional MP departures for health or other reasons, and typical annual attrition rates. Markets price ≤5 or 7 outcomes as plausible depending on whether additional writs are moved before year-end, while higher totals would require sustained political instability or multiple unexpected vacancies.
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$21,311Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several by-elections have already occurred in 2026, including Gorton and Denton in February and three seats in June linked to the Scottish Parliament elections and a Labour MP resignation that enabled Andy Burnham’s candidacy. An additional contest in Clacton is scheduled for mid-August. Trader consensus around six total by-elections reflects these confirmed vacancies plus a modest number of further triggers expected from ongoing Labour internal pressures following Keir Starmer’s June resignation, occasional MP departures for health or other reasons, and typical annual attrition rates. Markets price ≤5 or 7 outcomes as plausible depending on whether additional writs are moved before year-end, while higher totals would require sustained political instability or multiple unexpected vacancies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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