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Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Market icon
Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

BJP 97.2%

INC 2.1%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$66,721 Vol.

BJP 97.2%

INC 2.1%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$66,721 Vol.

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

BJP

$12,801 Vol.

97%

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

INC

$8,047 Vol.

2%

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

AITC

$4,995 Vol.

<1%

Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI(M)

$5,327 Vol.

<1%

Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

NCP

$4,698 Vol.

<1%

Will the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

AIUDF

$5,413 Vol.

<1%

Will the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

BPF

$4,954 Vol.

<1%

Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI

$9,650 Vol.

<1%

Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

NPEP

$5,699 Vol.

<1%

Will the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? icon

AGP

$5,137 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent BJP-led NDA, under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, dominates trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability of winning the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly following the April 9 single-phase polling with record 85% turnout. Pre-election opinion polls from IANS-Matrize, Chanakya, and Vote Vibe consistently projected NDA securing 82-98 seats with 43-44% vote share against the opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha (ASM)'s 26-40 seats, bolstered by Sarma's high popularity (48% CM preference) and development record amid fragmented rivals like INC's Gaurav Gogoi-led alliance. Post-poll ground reports and local surveys reinforce this landslide trajectory ahead of May 4 counting, though surprises in Muslim-majority or Barak Valley areas could theoretically narrow margins.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$66,721
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent BJP-led NDA, under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, dominates trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability of winning the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly following the April 9 single-phase polling with record 85% turnout. Pre-election opinion polls from IANS-Matrize, Chanakya, and Vote Vibe consistently projected NDA securing 82-98 seats with 43-44% vote share against the opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha (ASM)'s 26-40 seats, bolstered by Sarma's high popularity (48% CM preference) and development record amid fragmented rivals like INC's Gaurav Gogoi-led alliance. Post-poll ground reports and local surveys reinforce this landslide trajectory ahead of May 4 counting, though surprises in Muslim-majority or Barak Valley areas could theoretically narrow margins.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$66,721
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "BJP" di 97%, diikuti oleh "INC" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $66.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" adalah "BJP" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "INC" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.