orzanovn
Inscrit Jan 2026·899 vues
$1,545.49
Valeur des positions
$3,714.52
Plus gros gain
286
Prédictions
Profit/Perte
Jour Précédent
Actuel

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54.6¢
2,500.0 actions54.6¢
22.5¢
$562.50-$802.75 (-58.8%)

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54.6¢
2,500.0 actions$562.50-$802.75 (-58.8%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 16¢
5,000.0 actions$475.00-$324.89 (-40.62%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 81.9¢
400.0 actions81.9¢
51.5¢
$206.00-$121.41 (-37.08%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 81.9¢
400.0 actions$206.00-$121.41 (-37.08%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 64.6¢
600.0 actions64.6¢
20.5¢
$123.00-$264.42 (-68.25%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 64.6¢
600.0 actions$123.00-$264.42 (-68.25%)

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Yes 33¢
3,000.0 actions$94.50-$895.76 (-90.46%)

Trump out as President by June 30?
Yes 7¢
5,000.0 actions$67.50-$282.50 (-80.71%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢
2,000.0 actions4.4¢
0.9¢
$17.00-$70.61 (-80.6%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢
2,000.0 actions$17.00-$70.61 (-80.6%)