UFC Heavyweight champion Tom Aspinall leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability despite ongoing recovery from eye surgery sustained in late 2025, with recent cryptic posts hinting at a potential return but no firm timeline amid the June 14 White House event featuring Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane for the interim title, which Aspinall plans to target. Sergei Pavlovich's knockout power and #3 ranking bolster his 28% standing following an inactive streak after his August 2025 unanimous decision win over Waldo Cortes-Acosta, while Derrick Lewis holds 27.5% on perennial one-punch threat despite a January TKO loss to the surging Cortes-Acosta (17%), who boasts four 2025 wins. Ante Delija's grappling edge persists at 24.6% post-recent losses, reflecting the division's volatility and crowd wisdom on knockout-heavy paths to gold by year's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTom Aspinall 34%
Derrick Lewis 29.9%
Ciryl Gane 26%
Serghei Spivac 2.5%
Tom Aspinall
45%
Derrick Lewis
30%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Serghei Spivac
3%
Alexander Volkov
11%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
1%
Marcin Tybura
10%
Jailton Almeida
15%
Curtis Blaydes
14%
Ante Delija
25%
Sergei Pavlovich
28%
Tom Aspinall 34%
Derrick Lewis 29.9%
Ciryl Gane 26%
Serghei Spivac 2.5%
Tom Aspinall
45%
Derrick Lewis
30%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Serghei Spivac
3%
Alexander Volkov
11%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
1%
Marcin Tybura
10%
Jailton Almeida
15%
Curtis Blaydes
14%
Ante Delija
25%
Sergei Pavlovich
28%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UFC Heavyweight champion Tom Aspinall leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability despite ongoing recovery from eye surgery sustained in late 2025, with recent cryptic posts hinting at a potential return but no firm timeline amid the June 14 White House event featuring Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane for the interim title, which Aspinall plans to target. Sergei Pavlovich's knockout power and #3 ranking bolster his 28% standing following an inactive streak after his August 2025 unanimous decision win over Waldo Cortes-Acosta, while Derrick Lewis holds 27.5% on perennial one-punch threat despite a January TKO loss to the surging Cortes-Acosta (17%), who boasts four 2025 wins. Ante Delija's grappling edge persists at 24.6% post-recent losses, reflecting the division's volatility and crowd wisdom on knockout-heavy paths to gold by year's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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