Trader consensus favors former champion Jiří Procházka at 34% implied probability to hold the UFC light heavyweight title by year-end, buoyed by his explosive striking and grappling edge ahead of his vacant title clash against surging contender Carlos Ulberg on April 11 at UFC 327. Ulberg, riding a four-fight win streak including knockouts over Jan Błachowicz, Volkan Oezdemir, and Dominick Reyes, commands 22.5% as the stylistic matchup tests Procházka's chin against Ulberg's reach and power. Reyes sits third at 16.8% on his resurgence via recent stoppages despite the Ulberg loss, while Alex Pereira's 6.5% reflects his February vacation announcement to pursue heavyweight. Magomed Ankalaev's title shot defeat to Pereira in October 2025 dims his 6.1% outlook, underscoring the division's volatility with no defenses guaranteed post-vacancy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJiří Procházka 34%
Carlos Ulberg 30%
Dominick Reyes 11.2%
Magomed Ankalaev 5.6%
$14,568 Vol.
$14,568 Vol.
Jiří Procházka
34%
Carlos Ulberg
23%
Dominick Reyes
17%
Magomed Ankalaev
25%
Alex Pereira
16%
Azamat Murzakanov
4%
Bogdan Guskov
1%
Volkan Oezdemir
1%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Jamahal Hill
1%
Jan Błachowicz
1%
Jiří Procházka 34%
Carlos Ulberg 30%
Dominick Reyes 11.2%
Magomed Ankalaev 5.6%
$14,568 Vol.
$14,568 Vol.
Jiří Procházka
34%
Carlos Ulberg
23%
Dominick Reyes
17%
Magomed Ankalaev
25%
Alex Pereira
16%
Azamat Murzakanov
4%
Bogdan Guskov
1%
Volkan Oezdemir
1%
Khalil Rountree Jr.
1%
Jamahal Hill
1%
Jan Błachowicz
1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former champion Jiří Procházka at 34% implied probability to hold the UFC light heavyweight title by year-end, buoyed by his explosive striking and grappling edge ahead of his vacant title clash against surging contender Carlos Ulberg on April 11 at UFC 327. Ulberg, riding a four-fight win streak including knockouts over Jan Błachowicz, Volkan Oezdemir, and Dominick Reyes, commands 22.5% as the stylistic matchup tests Procházka's chin against Ulberg's reach and power. Reyes sits third at 16.8% on his resurgence via recent stoppages despite the Ulberg loss, while Alex Pereira's 6.5% reflects his February vacation announcement to pursue heavyweight. Magomed Ankalaev's title shot defeat to Pereira in October 2025 dims his 6.1% outlook, underscoring the division's volatility with no defenses guaranteed post-vacancy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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