Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after a unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on January 31, reclaiming dominance following prior setbacks and showcasing veteran resilience in five rounds. Movsar Evloev's 22.0% reflects his majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event on March 21, solidifying his #1 contender ranking and positioning him for a likely title shot after Volkanovski's recent callout, per Dana White's endorsement. Jean Silva at 18.5% gains from his knockout streak and bold challenge vowing to retire from UFC with a loss to Volkanovski, fueling hype as a stylistic upset threat amid the division's contention. Lower probabilities for Murphy (post-loss) and others like Steve Garcia underscore the crowded path through rankings and upcoming title challengers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAlexander Volkanovski 53%
Jean Silva 37%
Movsar Evloev 24%
Lerone Murphy 3.6%
Alexander Volkanovski
39%
Jean Silva
37%
Movsar Evloev
22%
Lerone Murphy
4%
Steve Garcia
3%
Arnold Allen
2%
Brian Ortega
2%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 53%
Jean Silva 37%
Movsar Evloev 24%
Lerone Murphy 3.6%
Alexander Volkanovski
39%
Jean Silva
37%
Movsar Evloev
22%
Lerone Murphy
4%
Steve Garcia
3%
Arnold Allen
2%
Brian Ortega
2%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after a unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on January 31, reclaiming dominance following prior setbacks and showcasing veteran resilience in five rounds. Movsar Evloev's 22.0% reflects his majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event on March 21, solidifying his #1 contender ranking and positioning him for a likely title shot after Volkanovski's recent callout, per Dana White's endorsement. Jean Silva at 18.5% gains from his knockout streak and bold challenge vowing to retire from UFC with a loss to Volkanovski, fueling hype as a stylistic upset threat amid the division's contention. Lower probabilities for Murphy (post-loss) and others like Steve Garcia underscore the crowded path through rankings and upcoming title challengers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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