Trader consensus favors Benoît Saint Denis at 52.5% implied probability for Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight matchup, driven by Pimblett's February callout for an all-European clash and recent reports targeting the pair for UFC 330 during International Fight Week. Following Pimblett's January loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324, Saint Denis surged in rankings after submitting Dan Hooker, positioning him as a stylistic test of Pimblett's grappling while offering high-stakes violence. Dan Hooker's 20.5% share stems from their ongoing foul-mouthed feud, amplified by post-fight barbs. Lower probabilities for Rafael Fiziev, Mateusz Gamrot, and Arman Tsarukyan reflect their top-10 status as viable contenders, though unconfirmed by official UFC matchmaking, with Conor McGregor at 1.1% as a fantasy draw amid no camp updates. Pimblett eyes a summer return after Dana White's UFC London approval.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBenoît Saint Denis 53%
Dan Hooker 21%
Mateusz Gamrot 10%
Rafael Fiziev 7%
$47,111 Vol.
$47,111 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
53%
Dan Hooker
21%
Mateusz Gamrot
10%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
3%
Conor McGregor
1%
Benoît Saint Denis 53%
Dan Hooker 21%
Mateusz Gamrot 10%
Rafael Fiziev 7%
$47,111 Vol.
$47,111 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
53%
Dan Hooker
21%
Mateusz Gamrot
10%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
3%
Conor McGregor
1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Benoît Saint Denis at 52.5% implied probability for Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight matchup, driven by Pimblett's February callout for an all-European clash and recent reports targeting the pair for UFC 330 during International Fight Week. Following Pimblett's January loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324, Saint Denis surged in rankings after submitting Dan Hooker, positioning him as a stylistic test of Pimblett's grappling while offering high-stakes violence. Dan Hooker's 20.5% share stems from their ongoing foul-mouthed feud, amplified by post-fight barbs. Lower probabilities for Rafael Fiziev, Mateusz Gamrot, and Arman Tsarukyan reflect their top-10 status as viable contenders, though unconfirmed by official UFC matchmaking, with Conor McGregor at 1.1% as a fantasy draw amid no camp updates. Pimblett eyes a summer return after Dana White's UFC London approval.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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